Bracket Pool Update – Round One Standings

None of our first-round upsets went completely unpredicted, but nor did anyone have a perfect run in round one prognostication. Still a tight field after one round, expect more separation as the week progresses.

Round One Round Two Sweet 16 Elite Eight Final Four Final Total
@seucT 22 22
@HerbCarmen 23 23
@thecamelsnose 23 23
@RogueAdventurer 23 23
@Sandra_Woy 23 23
@MichaelStone 21 21
@MikeTalley73 26 26
@nebarkley6 23 23
@milaficent 23 23
@smsaideman 23 23
@intelwire 26 26
@azelin 23 23
@strangestrings 25 25
@pcdisney 21 21
@MarkfromArk 26 26
@anniesperson 20 20
@astridhka 21 21
@emptywheel 26 26
@JDanaStuster 20 20
@DaveedGR 20 20
@walt_sa 19 19
@minglishmuffin 20 20
@LeoAdrien 17 17
@johnsonr 22 22
@rejectionking 23 23
@AngelaConner 23 23
@AthertonKD 19 19
@drjjoyner 25 25
@ctn767 24 24
Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

First Round Results

After an exhausting two-day melee, all the votes have been tabulated, the judges’ ballots have been counted, and 32 contestants are back to twitterfighting for the sheer love of the game, hopes of glory crushed by their competitors. A handful of upsets – one or two quite unexpected – and even more whisper-close contests populated this opening round. Without further ado, to the results!

Northwest

**1) @texasinafrica 81% 3 votes
16) @lwscaustralia 19% 1 votes

There was a lot of love for the Australian underdog, but in the end the overall number one seed advances handily.

2) @DaveedGR 62% 1 votes
**15) @lesley_warner 38% 3 votes

In probably the biggest upset of the round, despite @DaveedGR’s healthy edge in the popular vote, @lesley_warner takes this one thanks to a strong showing with the judges.

**3) @tweetsintheme 64% 4 votes
14) @rockrichard 36%

@tweetsintheme would have been in good position based on the popular vote, but doesn’t even need it after he runs the table with the judges.

**4) @zackbeauchamp 70% 4 votes
13) @zoonpolitikon 30%

The judges spoke highly of @zoonpolitikon, but in the end they all went with @zackbeauchamp to give him an easy win.

**5) @hayesbrown 73% 4 votes
12) @FranTownsend 27%

There was much respect for @FranTownsend, but @hayesbrown’s closer attention to the competition was too much to overcome.

6) @mattduss 34% 1 votes
**11) @InkSptsGulliver 66% 3 votes

A tough call for many to make, but in the end @InkSptsGulliver gets the edge with most of them and takes the match.

**7) @stephaniecarvin 63% 4 votes
10) @bungdan 37%

@stephaniecarvin pulls out all the stops – snark, proxies, actual content, cupcakes, a band of minions – to make sure her opponent never has a chance.

**8) @drfarls 37% 3 votes
9) @Ali_Gharib 63% 1 vote

In the closest match of the round (by a hair), @drfarls just squeaks by popular favorite @Ali-Gharib on the strength of a better showing with the judges.

Northeast

1) @intelwire 80% 2 votes
16) @forbesmm 20% 2 votes

The judges were split, but the popular vote gave @intelwire a comfortable victory.

**2) @attackerman 87% 2 votes
15) @DzirhanDefence 13% 2 votes

@attackerman dominated the popular vote to overcome a judging split.

**3) @astridhka 54% 3 votes
14) @dan_e_solo 46% 1 votes

In one of the most entertaining contests of the day, @astridhka gets a slight advantage in the popular vote and a strong advantage in the judging to take the day.

**4) @SlaughterAM 51% 2 votes
13) @Allison_Good1 49% 2 votes

This one is about as close as it gets! A tie with the judges, and a mere five votes between them in the popular polls, but @SlaughterAM just squeaks by @Allison_Good1.

**5) @chrisalbon 76% 1 votes
12) @PeterRNeumann 24% 3 votes

Another fingernail-close result with @PeterRNeumann taking 75% of the judges’ votes, but @chrisalbon winning out with 76% of the public vote.

6) @Doctrine_Man 56% 1 votes
**11) @JimmySky  44% 3 votes

@Doctrine_Man pulls ahead in the popular vote, but @JimmySky’s advantage with the judges wins the contest for him.

7) @AthertonKD 53% 1 votes
**10) @elsnarkistani 47% 3 votes

A tough match-up as I don’t think anyone wanted to see either of these guys going down in the first round, but @elsnarkistani overcomes @AthertonKD’s slender popular lead by taking three of the four judges’ votes.

**8) @BFriedmanDC 66% 4 votes
9) @trdeghett 34%

A show of strength in the first round as @BFriedmanDC cruises to a comfortable victory.

Southeast

**1) @adamserwer 75% 2 votes
16) @zaidjilani 25% 2 votes

@adamserwer’s popular edge gives him the win here despite a split judging panel.

**2) @joshuafoust 64% 4 votes
15) @rejectionking 36%

A strong opening for @joshuafoust as he gets past @rejectionking with a popular advantage and all four judges.

**3) @azelin 77% 2 votes
14) @dohoBOB 23% 2 votes

The newcomer manages to split the judging panel, but @azelin’s larger follower count surely helped him build a strong advantage in the popular vote.

**4) @gregorydjohnsen 61% 3 votes
13) @ArminRosen 39% 1 vote

Much respect was given to @ArminRosen’s twitterfighting game, but in the end @gregorydjohnsen won the match comfortably on both measures.

**5) @smsaideman 71% 2 votes
12) @EvansRyan202 29% 2 votes

Another split judging panel, but @smsaideman pulls it out with a strong popular advantage.

**6) @naheedmustafa 44% 4 votes
11) @charlie_simpson 56%

A sweep of the judges gets @naheedmustafa the win over @charlie_simpson.

**7) @johnsonr 64% 3 votes
10) @JDanaStuster 36% 1 vote

It’s a strong start for @johnsonr as she gets past a tough competitor with ease.

8) @laurenist 71% 1 votes
**9) @drjjoyner 29% 3 votes

@laurenist dominates the popular vote, but it’s not enough to overcome @drjjoyner’s edge with the judges.

Southwest

**1) @blakehounshell 72% 3 votes
16) @jasminchill 28% 1 votes

@blakehounshell cruises past the tournament newcomer with strong showings in the judging and the popular vote.

**2) @abuaardvark 84% 1 votes
15) @thebaseleg 16% 3 votes

@thebaseleg manages to take three of four judges’ votes, but @abuaardvark’s dominance in the popular vote means one judge is enough.

3) @AzmatZahra 44% 2 votes
**14) @khanserai 56% 2 votes

A split panel, but @khanserai gave voters enough reasons to vote for her and give her the edge.

**4) @emptywheel 72% 4 votes
13) @mkoplow 28%

@emptywheel opens strong with a popular vote win and all four judges.

**5) @speechboy71 66% 4 votes
12) @drjohnhorgan 34%

A comfortable victory for @speechboy71 as he takes all four judges’ votes and two thirds of the popular vote.

6) @shephardm 42% 2 votes
**11) @JasonFritz1 58% 2 votes

@JasonFritz1 caps off a big week with a win here on the strength of a small popular-vote advantage.

7) @JeffreyGoldberg 33% 2 votes
**10) @lrozen 67% 2 votes

@lrozen takes two thirds of the popular vote, giving her the edge with another split judging panel.

**8) @max_fisher 72% 2 votes
9) @andrew_zammit 28% 2 votes

@max_fisher’s greater followership takes the day with yet another split judging panel.

And now to your judges’ ballots!

Northwest

@hemlockmartinis

(1) @texasinafrica vs. (16) @lwscaustralia

Nothing like a good ol’-fashioned Huntington-esque clash of continents to start off Twitter Fight Club. When I was in college and definitely not under 21, my dorkier friends and I would play a version of Risk whereby we had to drink every time we lost a territory. Due to Australia’s defensibility, the player lucky enough to capture it early almost always won by default (we never actually finished an entire game). With a strategic environment like that, could @lwscaustralia stage the upset to end all upsets?

Dr. Seay is from Texas, but I won’t hold it against her. And despite the glaring geographic error in her Twitter handle – Texas isn’t even in Africa! – @texasinafrica knows her way around both. With only 140 characters apiece, she brings clarity and insight to a complex region known for endemic lawlessness, cultural backwardness, and strongmen-led regimes. Her tweets on Africa aren’t half-bad either. Cinderella story denied.

Winner: @texasinafrica.

(2) @DaveedGR vs. (15) @lesley_warner

There’s nothing more American than an underdog, which is ironic given the United States’ current six-and-a-half decade reign as a superpower. Despite being only a #15 seed, @lesley_warner has the endorsement of both the #1 seed AND the #2 seed in the Northwest – an impressive feat considering the #2 seed is her opponent @DaveedGR. Consensus like that leads to one inescapable conclusion.

Winner: @lesley_warner

(3) @tweetsintheME vs. (14) @rockrichard

In French, the English verb “to know” can be translated in two ways. “Connaître” is used when one knows something with familiarity: i.e., “I know that restaurant” or “I know her from school”. “Savoir” is used when one knows a fact or knows how to do something: i.e., “I know that George Washington was the first president” or “I know how to ride a bike”. In all things Sahel, @tweetsintheME knows the people, places, organizations, and events. But his keen insight into the region as a whole, cultivated from academic study and personal experience, made his Twitter feed as indispensible during the year-long Malian crisis as Edward Murrow’s radio broadcasts from London during the Blitz.

Winner: @tweetsintheME.

(4) @zackbeauchamp vs. (13) @zoonpolitikon

@zoonpolitikon tweets in what appears to be twelve different languages, most of them vaguely Germanic-looking – I only speak English and French so I have to guess – which is an impressive feat. Seriously, try tweeting a few things in a language other than English and watch your followers melt away. I can only read half his tweets, but given his following he must be doing something right with the other half too. The conclusion, and my vote choice, seemed self-evident.

Then I remembered that his opponent spent most of last Saturday live-tweeting birthers and neo-Confederates at CPAC. His weekend died so that our nation might live. Thus, in a larger sense, I cannot dedicate – I cannot consecrate – I cannot hallow – this bracket. The sacrifice made by @zackbeauchamp has already done that – far above my poor power to add or subtract.

Winner: @zackbeauchamp.

(5) @HayesBrown vs. (12) @FranTownsend

Don’t let the seeding fool you: this is a clash of titans. How good is @FranTownsend at Twitter? She started following me a good six months before anyone else in this bracket. Only a real Twitter pro could identify a rising star that quickly. On the other hand, a single Saturday morning retweet by @HayesBrown turned my pre-election parody account from an unnoticed weekend pursuit into the subject of a Washington Post article. The man clearly knows how to find high-quality content, tosay nothing of his ability to produce it. (The top one’s my favorite.) He’s also far more prolific on Twitter, with over 28,000 tweets to her 7,400. @FranTownsend could probably catch up easily – if she weren’t so busy regularly appearing on CNN and advising presidents of the United States on homeland security and counterterrorism, that is.

Winner: @HayesBrown

(6) @mattduss vs. (11) @InkSptsGulliver

This isn’t called Twitter Fight Club for nothing. @InkSptsGulliver’s feed is filled with sharp, incisive debates on the philosophy of war, U.S. military doctrines, the writings of Clausewitz, and everything in between. @mattduss is a top-notch analyst with a strong Twitter presence, but tenacity and pugilism bring it home for the low seed.

Winner: @InkSptsGulliver.

(7) @stephaniecarvin vs. (10) @bungdan

@bungdan’s Twitter presence is almost three times greater than @stephaniecarvin’s, with 34,000 tweets to 12,000 and 7,100 followers to 2,300, respectively. This might seem formidable until you realize that @stephaniecarvin is in Ottawa – a city far to the north, if you’re unfamiliar with the lands beyond the Wall – so her followers and tweets are tabulated in metric. Once converted into imperial, the match-up’s almost even. What’s the tie-breaker? Only one of these people is a self-described “cupcake artist.”

Winner: @stephaniecarvin.

8) @drfarls vs. (9) @Ali_Gharib

Despite the seeds, or perhaps because of them, this has been one of the more high-intensity match-ups so this year, with a ferocity resembling the intractable campaigns on the Eastern Front. Even in the opening salvos, @Ali_Gharib wasn’t afraid to make it personal and @drfarls wasn’t afraid to respond in kind. So like some Newtonian model, every hit landed was met withan equal and opposite reaction by the other for the past forty-eight hours. Even the harshest of counterattacks failed to bluntthe opponent’s momentum. Were this contest to be judged on merits beyond Twitter, @Ali_Gharib would have triumphed with this coup de grace. As it stands, however, deference must be paid to the higher-ranked seed who withstood the barrage over the lower-ranked seed who failed to break through.

Winner: @drfarls.

@juliaaberman

(1) @texasinafrica
(16) @lwscaustralia
You can DQ me for being biased if you want on this one. I never had a prayer. Laura was why I joined Twitter, plus she did a #hirejulia for me (during TFC cause she’s wiley), but in general her interactions and presence are unparalleled. She came to play. I did like LWS’s fake RTs a lot, but… no contest to me.

(2) @DaveedGR
(15)@lesley_warner
Leslie Knope references from Lesley. This was close, they were both very engaged with TFC and funny, but I felt like Daveed’s series of tweets about how people with tons of followers can’t engage as much with TCF at risk of alienation, followed by “I promise not to clog up my feed too much with TFC,” was a little… snobby? I dunno, it rubbed me the wrong way. BUT day II he killed it. And Oregonian. SO HARD. Still Lesley in the end, mostly bc her content tends to be more up my ally. By a nose.

(3) @tweetsintheme
(14) @rockrichard
I was leaning the other way, but Richard’s Thurs am twitter fight with Jake Tapper put me off… Not that he didn’t have points, but he was aggressive and repetitive and it lasted way too long. Andrew’s OpSec/deception loop joking with @AbuMuqawamaPMC was great too. Two of the best, though.

(4)@zackbeauchamp
(13) @zoonpolitikon
I liked the sass between them and zoonpolitikon did great with GIFs and pics, but I really do want to see Zack and Hayes face off, and Zack was a little more involved overall.

(5) @hayesbrown
(12) @FranTownsend
Way better engagement with TFC, global health pandering, which I liked, trashing Leno, which i love. Tried to bribe me and other judges, while we got no engagement from Fran. She also had a bs Benghazi tweet Thurs am soooo.

(6) @mattduss
(11) @InkSptsGulliver
Meh, this was underwhelming. It’s a total toss-up for me, which means Matt live tweeted Obama’s Israel speech and therefore won it with:

Odds on Obama actually saying "Hashtag realtalk"?
@mattduss
Matt Duss

(7) @stephaniecarvin
(10) @bungdan
I do what Dan Drezner says. She livetweeted her parents too, and was responsive and engaged – so was Dan, but this tweet of her to him in particular charmed me:

@ s'all good. I'm sure you just get by on, say, your actual useful and interesting journalism and handsomely rugged profile pic.
@StephanieCarvin
Stephanie Carvin

(8) @drfarls
(9) @Ali_Gharib
Awesome banter and tweets, this one was really close for me. I couldn’t decide until @richganske did his feats of strength. Best exchange:

Fact Check: False. I am, in fact, Money. RT @: Truth is, @ is neither a lawyer, a gun, nor money.
@drfarls
Robert Farley

@richganske

Twitter Fight Club is a game of violence, exclusion, and degradation and the northwest bracket did not disappoint in this first round.  The nature of Twitter Fight Club has always hinged upon selecting cunning allies, specifically, the bigger, stronger Twitterati for the purpose of ganging up and eliminating the weaker Twitterati.

No sooner had the opening bell rung when these stalwart sixteen begun their dizzying Machiavellian maneuvers: @texasinafrica joined forces with @stephaniecarvin, @hayesbrown became confederate with @zackbeauchamp, @mattduss collaborated with @rockrichard, and @ali_gharib enlisted the aid of @mattduss, all while @texasinafrica also aligned up with @lesley_warner.

While I find nothing shocking about the tendency to cooperate towards a common goal, I was shocked that it was not more discriminate.  I anticipated a web of entanglements weaved not within the same regional bracket but rather on outside help although that did occur (I’m looking at you @brettfriedman).  One thing is certain; there is no fear in this bracket for the strategic dangers of how said alliances might fall apart when the temptation of the immediate gain is apparent.

What do the entanglements of the first round alliances mean for round two?

My judgments:

#1 @texasinafrica vs #16 @lwscaustralia
I did not follow the Land Warfare Studies Center previously, but the @lwscaustralia focuses broadly upon the continent’s security concerns and not just upon “exploring land combat.”  I was very glad to see their tweets include PTSD and cyberwarfare.

Laura Seay is a professor at Morehouse College, and while she’s not otherwise occupied in educating her students on state failure and conflict, she’s laying current Africa knowledge on the rest of us.

Verdict: @texasinafrica
Overall, @texasinafrica overwhelmed her opponent through multiple lines of operations of deception, counter-deception, and shadowy Marine intermediaries (@brettfriedman) that culminated while @lwscaustralia slept half a world away.

#2 @daveedgr vs #15 @lesley_warner
If you concern yourself with National Security and Foreign Policy, then you follow Daveed Gartenstein-Ross. While allegedly procrastinating on completing his dissertation, he leaps small buildings, saves kittens from trees, and has written Bin Laden’s Legacy.

I did not follow Lesley Warner previous to TFC13.  With similar expertise as @texasinafrica, @lesley_warner is another great resource for current events and analysis on Africa.

Shocking verdict: @lesley_warner
In a closely contested match, with bare knuckle brawling, and cute baby pictures, the hummingbird @lesley_warner has upset @daveedgr’s drones.  Perhaps there will be an all-Africa finale to the northwest bracket?

#3 @tweetsintheME vs #14 @rockrichard
Andrew Lebovich’s work on Twitter (@tweetsintheME) is well known to the NatSec/FoPo following.

Richard Smith was another previous unknown to me in TFC13.  The focus of @rockrichard is his righteous accountability of veteran affairs.

Verdict: @tweetsintheME
This matchup was one of my top-two contests in this bracket’s first round (the other being @mattduss v. @inksptgulliver, see below).  Both addressed the voting criteria quite evenly, in my opinion.  My technical scoring shows them at a complete tie.  Both do not follow me, so at the end of the round I subjected them both to feats of strength.  Only Andrew Lebovich responded, so by technical knockout my points go to @tweetsintheME.

#4 @zackbeauchamp vs #13 @zoonpolitikon
Zack is one half of the TFC Brown/Beauchamp gang.  Equal parts analysis and humor, @zackbeauchamp is a reporter for ThinkProgress and shares my Google Reader angst.

TFC created a pleasant introduction for me to Ali (@zoonpolitikon) who is a polyglot that tweets in English but blogs in German about international relations, and is a Doctor Who and BSG fan.

Verdict: @zackbeauchamp
Pleasantries aside @zackbeauchamp grabbed the initiative and never looked back.  Will he face @hayesbrown in the next round?  Will will be the cost to collective security should this strategic alliance fall apart in round two?

#5 @hayesbrown vs #12 @frantownsend
@hayesbrown is the other half of the TFC Brown/Beauchamp gang who, like @zackbeauchamp, reports for ThinkProgress.

Frances Townsend is a former presidential CT adviser and current CNN National Security contributor.

Verdict: @hayesbrown
While there is no questioning @frantownsend’s knowledge base and argumentation, @hayesbrown scored a perfect 10 on the technicals to presumably progress to the next round.  If he and @zackbeauchamp meet next round then the first (of many?) alliances will crumble in this region.

#6 @mattduss vs #11 @inksptgulliver
Matt Duss is a policy analyst at the Center for American Progress and has appeared on CNN, MSNBC, BBC, FoxNews, and Al Jazeera as a contributor

Gulliver is an excellent Twitter resource for strategy, doctrine (especially Army doctrine), and CvC.

Photo-Finish: @inksptgulliver
With a similar level of performance as @hayesbrown, both @mattduss and @inksptgulliver tirelessly maintained a high level of output on Twitter in their own specific areas of expertise.  And like @hayesbrown, I’ve graded both @mattduss and @inksptgulliver a perfect 10 on the technicals.  In my mind, this was quietly the most competitive of all the matchups in this round.  So the tiebreaker fell to the “most ridiculous interview questions” I could find on the internet for the Feats of Strength.  @mattduss did not reply, so points to @inksptgulliver who replied that if he could be anyone living or dead, he would consider a golfing Clausewitz, a read Pappy Van Winkle, or a whiskey aficionado Tiger Woods.  Well played sir.

#7 @stephaniecarvin vs #10 @bungdan
Stephanie Carvin is an International Relations professor, a cupcake artist, and knows what the hell an at-at is.

I cannot say what Dan Murphy does, who he is, or where he came from.  I’ve become so confounded by @stephaniecarvin’s highly effective propaganda campaign… however, @bungdan does great military commentary and if he posts it about the Middle East, I read it.

Verdict: @stephaniecarvin
In the end, I’m in shock that Vermont has been ceded to Canada for its crucial maple syrup resources and random anagrams were too much for my feeble mind. I no longer know what is true and what is not. @stephaniecarvin gained my vote via the Two Minutes Hate.

#8 @drfarls vs #9 @ali_gharib
Robert Farley is a professor at the University of Kentucky.  @drfarls also blogs at Lawyers, Guns & Money and is a regular contributor at The Diplomat on international affairs and seapower.

Ali Gharib is Middle East correspondent for The Daily Beast.

Photo Finish: @drfarls
There is something to be said for not letting TFC change your game and that’s commendable on @ali_gharib’s part.  @drfarls clearly tweaked his style to match his judges.  And despite the misgivings of @douhetNYT, the technicals support @drfarls gaining my vote.  @drfarls helped himself pushing more airpower than usual through his feed the last two days, however, he almost tanked with his John Warden reference (#notafan).

@RogueAdventurer

(1) @texasinafrica vs. (16) @lwscaustralia

This seemed a pretty straightforward match at first, with @lwscaustralia missing a lot of the first day’s TFC fight time due to the ridiculous time difference (I should know, I’m on GMT+8). What looked like a dominant early performance from @texasinafrica had turned around by Thursday night (AUS time), as @lwscaustralia had clearly decided to take ‘work’ home with them and keep the brawl going. Both competitors covered a range of topics, from Afghanistan to China, and from Iron Dome to the conflict in Mali. Likewise, both competitors were frequently engaged with their audiences, with @texasinafrica even managing to rope in an endorsement from Grand Moff Friedman himself. Not to be outdone, @lwscaustralia… fabricated glowing support. I fully expected to award an easy win to @texasinafrica, having seen the ‘calibre’ of other official Aussie Army accounts before, but – by just a wallaby’s whisker – I have to award this one to @lwscaustralia.

Victor: @lwscaustralia

(2) @DaveedGR vs. (15) @lesley_warner

Both competitors seemed to ease into their match nicely, producing and sharing good content, and engaging with their followers and fellow competitors. Whilst @lesley_warner perhaps didn’t have the foresight to follow all of the judges, she put out some excellent links looking at Mali and South Sudan. There wasn’t too much political jockeying from either camp (no doubt @DaveedGR is saving his A game), though @lesley_warner went for the zombie angle, whilst @DaveedGR focused on his Twitterfight expertise. At the end of the day, @DaveedGR came out stronger in engagement and humour, claiming a clear – if not comfortable – victory.

Victor: @DaveedGR

(3) @tweetsintheme vs. (14) @rockrichard

As with previous matchups, it was excellent to see both duellists heavily engaged with their audiences and put out solid content. But really, it came down to Star Wars. My favourite exchange included the two following tweets, both showing solid analysis of the original trilogy:

@tweetsintheme: “endor was a key tactical staging ground and target site, but hardly a strategic re-orientation.”

@rockrichard: “But I think that Hoth is probably the best example of realignment of strategic priorities. Insurgency became non-kinetic.”

Whilst I’m not sure that the Rebel forces’ retreat to Hoth constituted a shift to a ‘non-kinetic insurgency’ (more like a staging ground for strategic, very much kinetic ops), both competitors had me chuckling. In the end, @tweetsintheme appeared to have a firmer grasp of Rebel insurgent strategy in the original trilogy, and gets my vote on that basis.

Victor: @tweetsintheme

(4) @zackbeauchamp vs. (13) @zoonpolitikon

Google Reader (or rather, its untimely demise) took up quite a chunk of @zackbeauchamp’s Tweet time, even discussing hisfriends’ reactions to the news, however his opponent was quick to point out that he was lagging behind the fast-paced medium of Twitter. @zoonpolitikon made an uninspiring, Dr Who-based appeal, but quickly realised his tactical error. Of course, he also decided he was best represented by Kermit the Frog. It seemed that the snark stakes had evened out in this match, and it came down to content. Both competitors produced a high volume of material, however @zackbeauchamp edged out by engaging with a number of followers on different tweets throughout the play period.

Victor: @zackbeauchamp

(5) @hayesbrown vs. (12) @FranTownsend

Unfortunately, @FranTownsend had only fired off a handful of tweets by the time I wrote these judgements up. I’d cut her a little slack for being on the newsbut I managed to get to a TV studio and back in essentially the same time period. Whilst she hit back at @hayesbrown’s initial salvo, the follow-up was sadly lacking. So despite this little piece of snark directed my way, @hayesbrown scores an early victory from me.

Victor: @hayesbrown

(6) @mattduss vs. (11) @InkSptsGulliver

This was another surprising match, with neither competitor having been particularly prolific by the time I was writing these judgements. Nor had either of them used the #TFC13 hashtag, or engaged with each other in any way. I was certainly surprised by @InkSptsGulliver, who I have followed for quite some time and know to be proficient at the art of Twitterfighting. In the end, @InkSptsGulliver snuck in a few more on-point tweets, and won out.

Victor: @InkSptsGulliver

(7) @stephaniecarvin vs. (10) @bungdan

@stephaniecarvin and @bungdan each managed an excellent balance of useful tweets, audience engagement, and traded barbs. @stephaniecarvin pointed out that ‘bungdan’ is an anagram of ‘band gnu’, apparently indicating @bungdan advocated a ban on gnus. Somehow, that turned into this horrible YouTube video. However, whilst @bungdan’s quips were a little unimaginative at times, @stephaniecarvin’s were spot-on, old school Twitterfight bombs, twisting her opponent’s words to suit her own purposes.

Victor: @stephaniecarvin

(8) @drfarls vs. (9) @Ali_Gharib

The final match of the Northwest Round saw a solid scrap between @drfarls and @Ali_Gharib, who was quick to claim editorial dominance over @drfarls’ recent writing. An early endorsement for @drfarls came from @AbuMuqawamaPMC, with @Ali_Gharib questioning the use of mercenaries. Of course, there are no rules in Twitter Fight Club. He learned fast though, and when @drfarls tried to paint him as a cartoon villain, @Ali_Gharib hit back in classic TFC style. @drfarls threw in anappeal to one of the bracket judges, which is always a wise move, but it wasn’t enough to save him in my eyes.

Victor: @Ali_Gharib

Northeast

@jasonmrobertson

1) @intelwire vs 16) @forbesmm
My first thought upon looking at the bracket was that @forbesmm was woefully underseeded. I also think @intelwire was slightly overseeded, but who am I to judge? Oh wait, a judge. Aside from the many substantial reasons I could waste your time with, I’m giving this round to @forbesmm because a) he’s Army (go Army!), b) he bought me beers once, and c) who doesn’t love an upset? (Also, he’s extremely quick-witted for a Major, which cannot be discounted.)

Pick: @forbesmm

8) @BFriedmanDC vs 9) @trdeghett
@BFriedmanDC: Extremely smart and witty (good), but also a Marine (ehhhhh). @trdeghett: New to me, but professes to like Arabic rap, and that’s pretty awesome. I’m gonna have to go with what I know here though. @BFriedmanDC’s body of work is pretty tough to overcome.

Pick: @BFriedmanDC

5) @chrisalbon vs 12) @PeterRNeumann
Hmm, another battle of higher-seeded known vs. lower-seeded unknown. Why do you do this to me, Caitlin? On day 1, @PeterRNeumann hit a home run when he managed to lump Bashar al-Assad in with Rand Paul. He’s good. @chrisalbon has a solid body of work, but didn’t really bring it on day 1 of TFC13. The dreaded 12-5 upset strikes Twitterfightclub!

Pick: @PeterRNeumann

4) @SlaughterAM vs 13) @Allison_Good1
@SlaughterAM is a powerhouse. @Allison_Good1 is a Louisianan. Dilemma… I’m not gonna lie though, I haven’t seen a whole lot of @SlaughterAM lately, and since this is Twitterfightclub, I’ve got to go with the better twitterer.

Pick: @Allison_Good1

6) @Doctrine_Man vs 11) JimmySky
Army vs. Air Force? No contest. But even aside from that, @Doctrine_Man just gets me.

Pick: @Doctrine_Man

3) @astridhka vs 14) dan_e_solo
Oof. @dan_e_solo is gonna have a hard time overcoming the Backstreet Boys admission. Also, @astridhka pretty much smacked @dan_e_solo around with the maps, and I love the maps.

Pick: @astridhka

7) @AthertonKD vs 10) @elsnarkistani
@AthertonKD’s Louisiana ties should help him, but then again he went to Tulane, so it’s pretty much a wash on that count. On the other hand, Blog Tarkin is pretty awesome. @elsnarkistani…well, snark. Pretty much the whole reason Twitter exists. And he’s a vet, so I’m biased again. Damn, this is a tough one.

Pick: @elsnarkistani

2) @attackerman vs 15) @DzirhanDefence
FINALLY an easy one. (Relatively.) @attackerman is a Twitter rockstar, and deservedly so. He’s pretty badass over at Wired, too. Also, see previous comment re: snark.

Pick: @attackerman

@jeffemanuel

(1) @intelwire
(16) @ForbesMM
This would have been a tough matchup to judge had @ForbesMM been up against pretty much anybody else. However, @intelwire is an absolute force on twitter: a high-volume news source who also provides deep, relevant analysis of events, both past and in-progress. Though I think @ForbesMM deserves better than a first-round out, @intelwire has to get my vote here.

(2) @attackerman
(15) @DzirhanDefence
I can see one of the Young Turks in this competition taking out @attackerman down the road, but on name ID alone he’ll probably sail through this round. That being said, while enjoy his feed (and while the Danger Room crew is fun to read), I have to go for the underdog here. @dzirhandefence provides excellent twitter content daily, and he gets my vote here against the Goliath that is @attackerman.

(3) @astridhka
(14) @dan_e_solo
Two folks who know Africa, and who are prolific (and fun to read) tweeters? This is a tough one to call, but as Africa grows on the developed world’s radar (for more reasons than just minerals this time), I have to go with the tweeter here who is covering that regularly. My vote goes to @dan_e_solo.

(4) @SlaughterAM
(13) @Allison_Good1
This is a very tough matchup between two people who “get” the medium, yet use it very differently. While both are very interesting, I think @SlaughterAM‘s body of work as a whole on twitter has earned her the right to advance to Round 2.

(5) @chrisalbon
(12) @PeterRNeumann
Have I mentioned that this is a tough quadrant of the bracket to judge yet? I enjoy both @chrisalbon and @PeterRNeumann’s feeds immensely, even if the former has lost a little volume since transitioning from “graduate student” to “guy with an actual job.” I can’t help but think how much fun later rounds would be with myriad Frontline (nee Conflict) Kitchen Appliance accounts advocating for @chrisalbon; however, based on the recent activity in their respective feeds, I have to go with @PeterRNeumann here.

(6) @Doctrine_Man
(11) @JimmySky
What’s that word I keep using? Oh, right: tough. Both of these guys are great tweeters, and they both bring great knowledge to the NatSec conversation. This is so difficult I literally changed my mind a half dozen times while writing this sentence, but I have to cast a vote, so it goes to….@jimmysky.

(7) @AthertonKD
(10) @elsnarkistani
Definitely two of the most fun feeds in this space, and another one where I changed my mind several times when it came down to decision time. It seems like there’s a pattern to my picks today; other than @intelwire, @slaughteram, and (spoiler alert!) @BFriedmanDC, I appear to be in pick-the-underdog mode, and that continues here. @athertonkd deserves better than to lose in the first round (and I’m guessing he won’t), but @elsnarkistani gets the vote. Man was this a tough one to decide.

(8) @BFriedmanDC
(9) @trdeghett
I don’t know if 8 vs 9 counts as a real underdog vs favored matchup, but this is one of the few cases where I went with the higher-seeded individual. @trgeghett provides a lot of quality content in her feed, but the insight and experience @BFriedmanDC brings to twitter is tough to beat. He gets the vote.

@petulantskeptic

I was a judge last year for TFC. I think, maybe it was the year before that, I’m honestly not sure. While I may not be sure of that, I am sure of this: I was shocked when I read this year’s judging guidelines. I’m pretty sure that there were no judging guidelines in past TFCs and I think the competition was better for this, I firmly believe in the [find amendment number later] Amendment right of all Americans to judge other people based on whatever capricious whim suits them.

Anyhow, the guidance I received was (along with a laundry list of recommended “metrics” and other such nonsense), “We also reserve the right to throw out any ballots that don’t at least make some attempt at objectivity.” Well, since this is all pretty serious business I don’t want my ballot thrown out so I’ve attempted to get some objective data from the competitors. If TFC were about readily available objective data it wouldn’t be in any fun because it would be Klout. To that end I asked the tweeps in my division for their weight. Here’s what happened

(1) intelwire vs (16) ForbesMM
While @intelwire‘s feed is a treasure trove of links regarding foreign policy and national security Google Reader still exists (though he does get kudos for his prescient vision of its demise). He also seems to be hiding something because when I asked for some objective measures to use in judging my region he obfuscated. When queried more  directly his response was unsettling (1).

Meanwhile, laboring in somewhat more obscure corners of twitter @ForbesMM‘s feed does not resemble Google Reader (which, for now, is a point in his favor, though he also loses a point for lack of the foresight that his opponent has clearly demonstrated in filling this soon-to-be empty niche). @ForbesMM also raises a good point about his opponent’s views on Twitter Fight Club: Does @intelwire believe the Twitter Fight Club to be spam? It would seem so, and from his continued evasions it becomes harder and harder to not jump to conclusions and vote for his opponent.

The final deciding factor however was that @intelwire not only made a poor decision by using an unconventional and confusing hashtag throughout the first day’s competition (and continued, Rumsfeldian, defending this mistake until its ignominy was clear to all) (a). Complementing this was the objective data that @ForbesMM weighs 5.87×10^28 AU, we have no such objective information about @intelwire.

Decision: @ForbesMM

(8) BFriedmanDC vs (9) trdeghett
I’m not familiar with both of these competitors, only with @BFriedmanDC, who I see here as criminally underrated. Additionally a perusal of @trdeghett‘s feed does not reveal much in the way of “Twitter Fighting” whereas @BFriedmanDC has multiple grudges and regularly antagonizes the IAVA crew for their inexplicable dislike of Shinseki. If they would just come out and say that they’re still bitter about the whole “berets for everyone thing” it would probably resolve a lot of issues. It must be noted that @trdeghett did answer my call for objective data with something sort of resembling an answer.

Decision: @BFriedmanDC

(5) chrisalbon vs (12) PeterRNeumann
Chris is married to a pediatrician. I’m going to be a pediatrician in about 3 months. Game. Set. Match.

Decision: @chrisalbon

(4) SlaughterAM vs (13) Allison_Good1
Not only has @Allison_Good1 brought the heat as far as entertainment goes (objectively speaking) during TFC13 her opponent has no idea what it is and has been essentially non participatory.

Decision: @Allison_Good1

(11) JimmySky vs (6) Doctrine_Man
One of these competitors responded to my call for objective data with photographic proof, hard to get more objective than that. One did not respond at all.

Decision: @JimmySky

(3) astridhka vs (14) dan_e_solo
Toughest matchup to judge. Dan put up a great fight, but in the end some late-breaking, objective, allegations of Ridgeback dislike were leveled at @dan_e_solo and never responded to adequately. In the world of Twitter Fighting, “When did you stop beating your wife?” is a valid strategy, employed masterfully by @astridhka in this matchup.

Decision: @astridhka

(7) AthertonKD vs (10) elsnarkistani
This matchup was incredibly difficult to judge, both competitors giving it their all, entertaining me, offering me bribes, etc. Then @AthertonKD revealed, with objective data, that he owns a cat.

Decision: @elsnarkistani

(2) attackerman vs (15) dzirhandefence
Neither party seems super interested in TFC13, instead going about their normal, non-aggressive twitter lives. @attackerman has a) the more aggressive twitter handle (attack vs defence [sic]… you do the math) and a longer track record of Twitter fighting he wins by default.

Decision: @attackerman

@securityscholar

Below I launch into my results, I’ll start by saying it was a hard field to narrow! So to give you an idea of how I judged this field, this is what I kept in mind, both in quantitative and qualitative terms:

1. knowledge base (tweet content, including quality of argumentation);
2. innovative thinking (presenting tweets in a novel or innovative way);
3. overall Twitiquette (meaning humour, snark, but also responsiveness and respect shown to followers)

To be fair as possible, after I gathered my first impressions, I waited a few hours before going back and verifying my results in reverse order.

(1) @intelwire
(16) @ForbesMM

Gentlemen from very different styles had approximately the same level of jovial engagement with followers, and were about equal in innovation (I liked @ForbesMM’s #TFC13 strategy!). So I gave it to @intelwire for a stronger performance in tweets in his area of knowledge whereas I found @ForbesMM, no less a knowledgeable tweeter, spent too much time talking about #TFC13 than tweet-fighting it.

(2) @attackerman
(15) @DzirhanDefence

Seriously knowledgeable dudes! It came down to consistency in this instance, and @DzirhanDefence won out for producing super informative tweets mixed in with the right ratio of engagement. That said, @attackerman’s dating advice is priceless!

(3) @astridhka
(14) @dan_e_solo

The Africa experts. How do I separate these two? Both got right into the spirit of #TFC13 and for that alone both deserve commendation for being good sports and an admonishing fingerwag for mud-raking! Not being an Africa person, it came down to who better showed/shared knowledge, and for me it was … um … oh gosh this was hard … @astridhka

(4) @SlaughterAM
(13) @Allison_Good1

The Professor and the Student. I had to wade a little more than usual to get to the heart of their knowledge bases in their feeds, but you can’t fault either lady for being passionate about what they believe it, whether it’s women in the workplace or Kelly Clarkson ;) Both are good engagers, so it came down to quality tweeting (especially in content), and in this deciding field, I gave it to @SlaughterAM.

(5) @chrisalbon
(12) @PeterRNeumann

@chrisalbon’s humour still makes me smile. I’m new to @PeterRNeumann, but lucky “ich spreche some Deutsch”! @chrisalbon’s got the Twititquette down overall but @PeterRNeumann was ahead in knowledge base. As I scrolled down, I saw @PeterRNeumann show uncharacteristic looseness in castigating a colleague for tweeting while on a panel. So in a photo finish, I gave it to @PeterRNeumann for a stronger performance overall.

(6) @Doctrine_Man
(11) @JimmySky

Both very clever tweeters. @Doctrine_Man’s strength and novelty is his ability to fold doctrine and strategy lessons into quips, if you’re into polmil stuff, I recommend you follow him. But tweet for tweet, @JimmySky is stronger in the criteria listed above, especially content and knowledge, and is my 2013 pick.

(7) @AthertonKD
(10) @elsnarkistani

Both straight from the blogworld with strong analytical minds willing to mix it up with pop culture in their writing. Loved their #TFC13 quips as well. But in their overall Twitter feed performances, I was left wanting more from @ElSnarkistani in content. @AthertonKD gets my vote this year.

(8) @BFriedmanDC
(9) @trdeghett

Last for today but not least, the media pack: a PR Expert and a Journalist. @trdeghett curates a tight, interesting feed full of links relevant to her fields. @BFriedmanDC has great engagement and equally provides fascinating stuff. I’ve given it to @BFriedmanDC for his novel presentation of facts about the Afghanistan war by stating how old servicepeople killed this week were in 2001. Another photo finish!

Southeast

@aostovar

Judging is subjective. I have made an effort to also make it transparent. When thinking through how I would approach this round I identified certain benchmarks that would undoubtedly shape my decision making. The below decision tree highlights these factors:

Competitors able to meet the criteria at the lower end of the tree have an advantage. Let’s move on to the matches:

(1) @adamserwer vs. (16) @zaidjilani
This match was apparently blacked out in my market. To make it interesting I flipped a book, in this case Nicholas Blanford’s Warriors of God. Cover goes to the higher seed. Cover it is. @adamserwer gets the vote.

(2) @joshuafoust vs. (15) @rejectionking
This was a very close match. As a product of the academy, I’m at times partial to the underdog. @rejectionking did not disappoint. TFC organizers did him no favor placing him opposite @joshuafoust, but Sina put forward impressive effort. This had the potential for a Balboa-Creed double knockout, but in the end I had to decide what I valued more: social justice or self-preservation. I went with the latter. Although “real” Josh is a very pleasant fellow, “twitter” Josh scares me. @joshuafoust gets the vote.

(3) @azelin vs. (14) @dohoBOB
See decision tree. O.G. @azelin gets the vote.

(4) @gregorydjohnsen vs. (13) @ArminRosen
O.G. and fellow U of A NES alumnus @gregorydjohnsen gets the vote. I didn’t really have a choice here since Gregory also has Terry Gross’ endorsement.

(5) @smsaideman vs. (12) @EvansRyan202
This was hardest fought match in the bracket. @EvansRyan202 played it conservative but did not rest on his laurels. @smsaideman took appropriate steps to advance into legitimate contention and even pulled ahead with some impressive strategery. My Canadian spouse has given me a fondness for the people of the great white north. This alone could have tipped the scales in @smsaideman’s favor. However, two factors ultimately put Ryan ahead for good: 1) he’s an O.G. and 2) I owe him for last Cinco de Mayo. @EvansRyan202 gets the vote.

(6) @naheedmustafa vs. (11) @charlie_simpson
The decision tree should have decided this contest. However, not wanting to see Canada fall short completely in this bracket gave @naheedmustafa a slight edge. I flipped an Emirati dirham to check with the karma gods. Heads (decanter) goes to Naheed. Heads it is. The gods have spoken. @naheedmustafa gets the vote.

(7) @johnsonr vs. (10) @JDanaStuster
I expected this to be competitive. It was until @johnsonr pulled off a Crane Kick. COME AT ME BRO. No can defend. @johnsonr gets the vote.

(8) @laurenist vs. (9) @drjjoyner
This was essentially a tie. @laurenist started stronger but faded late. Conditioning could have been a factor. Tie breaker goes to the Alexandrian. @drjjoyner gets the vote.

@caldwellgr

Most law students, deep down, dream of one day being a Supreme Court justice. This, I reckon, is the closest I’m ever going to come. And so, with thanks to @caidid for giving me this platform, I will proceed to abuse my authority to the utmost of my ability. My judging strategy basically boils down to three precepts: 1) ramble on long enough that you lose interest, thus overlooking the leaps of logic I make, especially in 2) comparing two (or more) different “values,” even if they have little or nothing to do with each other, and pronouncing the resulting “balance” as almost too close to call, before 3) making the pick I want to make anyway. If you’ve ever read a John Marshall opinion, this method should make perfect sense to you. In this way, I hope you will overlook that I am not nearly as humorous or insightful as the contestants upon whom I have been called to pass judgment, and who all have much better feeds than do I. But, as the old saying goes, “Those who can, tweet. Those who can’t, write out 4400 word posts. Those who do both are Gulliver and Trombly.

@AdamSerwer v. @ZaidJilani
Is this really a 1 v. 16 matchup? Both competitors got down to business as usual, providing hard-hitting opinions through their feeds. @AdamSerwer, for his part, appeared to all but ignore the competition in favor of his day job, which fortunately for him still allows him to be competitive. @ZaidJilani, however, scores points by being willing to use an electronic device even while possibly being targeted.

At the end of the day, this is a surprisingly tough call. Both competitors spend a lot of time talking about topics that I don’t follow closely. On those that I do follow, I often disagree with much of what they say. This is not a bad thing at all, and I’m happy to follow both (though @ZaidJilani is a new follow for this competition).  I’m going to buck the rankings here and go with @ZaidJilani, whose pointed commentary on multiple issues this week is successfully thought-provoking, and whose own words show humility and a willingness to make himself reconsider. This takes nothing away from @AdamSerwer, whose feed is consistently interesting but is possibly so broad and prolific that individual tweets fail to have the same impact.

@joshuafoust v. @rejectionking
Speaking of tweeters that have to avoid being killed! @rejectionking has quickly become a good follow for information on Iran and sanctions (especially in combo with @youbsanctioned). @joshuafoust, as anyone who has followed him for long knows, is an expert on all things expert (not to take anything away from @DaveedGR, Twitter’s leading authority on leading authorities). His domain includes drones, insurgency, secrecy, and food. @rejectionking is great at sifting through the mass of bytes on Twitter for those one or two morsels worth finding. @joshuafoust is great at carving up internet experts and DoD advisors with incisive commentary, sweeping through their arguments like a modern-day Tamerlane, if with slightly more respect for the human rights of Central Asians. I have to give this round to @joshuafoust, whose feed, as always, provides a fine balance of analysis with humor and the random, even when he’s busy twitterfighting opponents not his own. Also because this is a national security focused event, and who doesn’t love carpet bombing more than careful targeting?

@azelin v. @DoHoBoB
I feel sorry for those of us (namely, me) trying to decide between these two. Very different feeds, subject-wise, but both incredibly knowledgeable. And so we must consider several different values in deciding. If we go by pandering, @azelin easily takes the cake (writing your own pander will always win over belatedly retweeting someone else’s). I also like his equanimity in the face of death threats made against 10-year-olds. But @DoHoBoB was all over the place throwing out interesting stories. I also considered whether the rookie deserves a break going against last year’s bracket champion, In the end, I have to go with @azelin, based on depth of tweeted knowledge. I remain open to the possibility of changing my pick, however, if @DoHoBoB will provide barbecue the next time I’m in Houston.

@GregoryDJohnsen v. @ArminRosen
Both competitors got off to bad starts for an event that prizes strategic knowledge. I trust @gregorydjohnsen to provide me with information about a place that I know next to nothing about (namely Yemen), and yet he goes and puts himself on foreign territory. Or @caidid puts him there. Either way. But then @ArminRosen apparently came unarmed to a knife fight, failing to check his equipment to make sure it was functioning properly before entering into his engagement. Both nearly fatal errors, and perhaps the contestants were lucky to be matched against each other.

Early missteps aside, the two quickly came to blows. Credit @ArminRosen with the best current events joke, and one that makes fun of Richard Nixon. Ignoring this, @gregorydjohnsen showed that he’s all business when it comes to TFC. @ArminRosen balanced TFC with a media appearance, which is all kinds of cool. But I think I once heard @gregorydjohnsen on NPR, and I don’t think it was on “Wait, Wait, Don’t Tell Me,” though I could be mistaken. @gregorydjohnsen says a vote for him is one for freedom and cavities. @ArminRosen says a vote for him…means he won’t force WMATA to single-track tomorrow.

It’s good v. evil. Freedom v. WMATA tyranny. Ultimately, however, neither of those promises changes anything (I’m already relatively free, and I already have about a 75% chance of single-tracking anytime I use the metro). Ultimately, I have to pick @gregorydjohnsen, who provides news I can’t get anywhere else.

@smsaideman v. @EvansRyan202
The feistiest engagement in this region (despite some surprisingly tender moments)! So much going for @EvansRyan202 in this one. He’s a fellow Jesuit survivor, a dark liquor drinker, and a fellow Duke fan (though I harbor some grave doubts about his sincerity). Additionally, he’s the underdog and runs a feed that sticks close to what he knows, while still being surprisingly broad in scope. Against this, however, I have to weigh his notoriety as a slavedriver.

Opponent @smsaideman returns this year savvier and veterannier than ever. If I were to judge solely by the number of rounds fired (presumably a favored @brettfriedman metric), this would be no issue. The amount of words that @smsaideman puts out per day is astounding, and I’m not even counting anything he puts on his blog. Let’s be honest, here is a man with so much time on his fingers that he can not only battle his own competitor, he can get in early shots for down the road.

I enjoyed both of these competitors immensely. They threw some great zingers back and forth and both showed great Muppets knowledge. When it comes to substance, there is a definite contrast. @EvansRyan202 tweets much more in-depth, @smsaideman much more broadly. Sadly for @EvansRyan202, this week, as the Iraq anniversary, was a week that favors ruminations on national security policy writ large. @smsaideman for the win, with the hopes that @EvansRyan202 comes back next year during a week in which insurgent movements are much more active (wait…am I really hoping for that?).

@NaheedMustafa v. @charlie_simpson
@charlie_simpson usually has a great feed, aside from the KU cheerleading, but her job interfered with the competition this year. Her early plea for sympathy worked on this judge, who understands the pain of BAAs. In the end, though, you can’t blow off the competition and expect to win. Unless you’re Christian Laettner.

Now, if there were a cash reward for TFC, I’d have had to vote for @NaheedMustafa almost regardless of competition. If you hadn’t noticed, she is trying to raise money to do some on-the-ground reporting in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and I feel like this is the type of thing I should support. Sadly, there is no such cash reward, and I think there’s a 50% chance that her on-the-ground reporting will be entirely dedicated to telling me about the people on Pakistani trains. Actually, now that I think about it, that sounds pretty entertaining. Vote for @NaheedMustafa!

@johnsonr v. @JDanaStuster
Everyone’s favorite USMC ethics professor v. the up-and-coming listicle creator. Actually, when you say it that way, it doesn’t sound like much of a competition. Nonetheless, these two put together a fun battle to watch. @johnsonr got off on the wrong foot, telling her followers that she was rebuilding the Command and Staff College, but not crowdsourcing for ideas. Does she have any idea how much most of her readership would probably enjoy that project? Apparently not; points deducted. @JDanaStuster, meanwhile, was more than content to rope-a-dope and let his opponent get herself into mistakes. But when both parties fully joined battle this afternoon, the results were hilarious. Well done to both parties, though I feel compelled to point out @johnsonr’s contribution to the ongoing decline of the American economy.

Substantively, both were good sources of information, posting links to articles and reports throughout the day (this one got extra points with this judge). In the end, @johnsonr had a few more substantive posts, and almost all of them on topics she knows well. Well done to @JDanaStuster, but vote to @johnsonr.

@laurenist v. @drjjoyner
In so many ways a clash of contrasts. Male v. female. Gen X v. Millenial. Scotch v. scotch.

@laurenist came out swinging, clearly understanding what the day (or two) was about. @drjjoyner, always up for a debate about, around, or between veterans, started twitterfighting with careless abandon, searching out new opponents. In one morning, I saw him engaged on three different topics, with half a dozen or so opponents. Impressive, though he couldn’t keep up that frenetic pace. @laurenist, meanwhile, went about being helpful, which is an odd thing to see during TFC. I initially wasn’t sure whether to award points or not for that, but I ultimately decided that there’s a good chance she was just buttering @johnsonr up for betrayal in a future round. Points for that, then, as well as for her unique ability to get something tangible from TFC.

Despite supposedly being a clash of contrasts, this comes right down to the wire. @drjjoyner by a whisker, based on the number of different topics upon which he’s willing to engage. I want to compliment both of these contestants, though, for their debate on job trainers for veterans. Though the snark is fun, one of the best things about this competition is that it gives smart people the opportunity to engage each other on a variety of topics. Both @drjjoyner and @laurenist know their veterans’ issues, and I enjoyed seeing them debate on it.

Congratulations, though, to all of the contestants! I very much enjoyed reading your tweets for the past two days, and thanks for participating.

@grahamwjenkin

I should preface this with something of an apology. I followed exactly half of the people in this bracket before the tournament began. Luckily, most of them faced each other so I didn’t have really unfair decisions to make, but for some the choice was really based on output over the past two days. With that said…

(1) @adamserwer
(16) @zaidjilani

This one’s rather unfair from the start. I haven’t been following Zaid, though extra points for labor issues because nobody talks about them enough. On the other hand, I follow Adam. Also, I saw him once at a Clyde’s happy hour. I think he was leaving.

Winner: @adamserwer
(2) @joshuafoust
(15) @rejectionking

Now, here’s a matchup I can get behind. The current star versus the newcomer. HUMINT v. cyber. The guy who uses real names, and the other guy who doesn’t really. Lots of other things. But here are the crucial “keys to the match”:

-          Puggles: Now, as a guy who grew up with proper pugs and plans on getting one sometime soon, I could go either way. On the one hand, they’ve got precious pugblood in them. On the other hand, they’re abominations. But from the pictures I’ve seen, Milo is pretty adorable. Rejection has a very cute little dog himself. I don’t know the breed but it looks yappy and nervous and precious and if I tried to pet it I would pull a Lennie from Of Mice and Men. But that surely isn’t the dog’s fault.

-          Foursquare: I like to keep track of comings and goings. I like remembering what the name of that bar I was at Saturday night is because I won’t otherwise. And the King of all Rejection uses it, and I like that.

-          Cooking: I asked @rejectionking was the last meal he cooked was, and the answer was mac and cheese with “fancy chicken sausage”. I am hungry all the time and that sounds amazing. Foust uses way too many vegetables, but he also puts up all the pretty pictures, so points to him there.

-          Cyber: Put simply, @rejectionking has turned me on to way more sweet cyber/etc. Twitter accounts than I ever thought possible. Including a useful Reddit (extra points!). So there’s that.

Also, you guys, they agree on Star Trek things, making this a very hard-fought decision, but in the end…it’s @joshuafoust, surprising even myself, because pug lineage is unstoppable.
(3) @azelin
(14) @dohoBOB

Zelin gave me a shoutout But @dohoBOB’s name is Betsy Ross, and she had a very bad day yesterday (it may also have been a stratagem…but in that case it was indeed a good one). Then again, Zelin is as annoyed about the Obama trip underway as I am, which is nice to hear. This one’s tough, but owing mostly to my ignorance…

@dohoBOB, in an upset.
(4) @gregorydjohnsen
(13) @ArminRosen

@ArminRosen is one of the accounts that most closely resembles Weird Twitter. Mr. Johnsen once visited Canada. No contest here.

Winner: @ArminRosen
(5) @smsaideman
(12) @EvansRyan202

Ryan was the first to follow me, and we share a Chicago connection (Devon Avenue whaaaat). Saideman has been more engaging, but he’s also Canadian. So there’s a tossup for ya. Against my better judgment (see: previous decision), and owing to his prolific output, the winner: @smsaideman.
(6) @naheedmustafa
(11) @charlie_simpson

This was about to be a hard-fought battle, and then Ms. Simpson tweeted: “Please vote for @naheedmustafa in #TFC13. I’m swamped.” As someone who’s been trying to print versions of the same document non-stop for several weeks, I feel your pain, and understand.

Winner: @naheedmustafa
(8) @laurenist
(9) @drjjoyner

I think you’re both pretty great, but between yoga pants, Science Club, and an illustrious family name, the winner is clear. I don’t care how many generations removed our common ancestor might be or how thin the blood is – it’s still thicker than water. Or oil. Or wine or something. Look, we Jenkinseseses just gotta stick together, is all.

Winner: @laurenist

(7) @johnsonr
(10) @JDanaStuster

AN EPIC DUEL. The professor v. the whiz kid. DC v. Quantico. R vs. J. Ms. Johnson tweets evening discussions, which are great. I always seem to miss the beginning though and am always too lazy to get caught up again. Mr. Stuster seems to follow more my Twitter style, of interesting links and occasional replies and such. Also, Rebecca gave me a shout-out/suck-up, which was nice…but Dana promised me beer. And that’s even thicker than blood. Or whatever.

Winner: @JDanaStuster

@stcolumbia

A note on methodology:

You will note that I provide two quantitative metrics here along with my qualitative assessments. Past Twitter Fight Clubs have been marred with dispute over if and how quantitative factors deserve a larger place in judging, and to what extent one’s past Twitteroeuvre ought factor into our decision.

I render my judgments in this manner: When available, for analyzing prior body of work, I will incorporate both a T-Score and a Gartenstein-Ross Score*, assessed at the time of selection. These numbers will be aggregated using a sophisticated process called “lumping it together,” the theorems of which are so complex and mind-boggling I could only adequately explain it in a more scholarly forum, such as a barroom napkin.

Then, you take the qualitative variable, and at this point I hope you’ve actually just decided to scroll down to find out the results, so really, let’s cut to the chase.

(1) @ADAMSERWER VS. (16) @ZAIDJILANI
T-Scores: .12 vs. .76
DGR Scores: 405 vs. 2492
Here’s a great example of how quantitative metrics can obliterate our preconceptions of Twitter-fighting strength. Neither of these progressives spent much time twitter fighting each other, although @zaidjilani’s casual invitation for electoral support did question the fundamentally reactionary underpinnings of TFC. Nevertheless, the stats don’t lie. This white guy’s vote goes to @zaidjilani.

(2) @JOSHUAFOUST VS. (15) @REJECTIONKING

T-Scores and DGR-Scores for this matchup unavailable due to data collection issues.

Joshua “The Puggle-owning Pugilist” Foust and Sina “I Can’t Think of a Chihuahua Joke” K. face off. For the bloodthirsty audience there was a fair amount of sparring between these two, including adorable dog pictures. Nevertheless, this competition is about twitterfighting, not who has the best dog picture on the internet (then I would win, duh). And as far as twitterfighting goes, there’s few who can claim to do it with the tenacity of @joshuafoust.

(3) @AZELIN VS. (14) @DOHOBOB
T-Scores: .45 vs. 7.76
DGR Scores: 1352 vs. 29409
@Azelin, despite his dominating output on jihadist ideology, simply can’t stand up to the unstoppable Twitter doom machine that is @DOHOBOB, who leads everyone else even scored. @Azelin was very active during the competition period, and was even the first to pander to me by recommending a follow. @DOHOBOB explained her relative silence by participating in a 400lb-of-meat-consuming cookoff, but since none of it was sent to me, I can’t give her credit for that. What I can give her credit for is the statistical Omdurman she can inflict on most foes. If you can’t stand the heat, get out the way of the Kitchener of Moneyball’d TFC.

(4) @GREGORYJOHNSEN VS. (13) @ARMINROSEN
T-Scores: .22 vs. 1.78
DGR Scores: 415 vs. 4586
Gregory Johnsen, as Armin Rosen noted, is a Princeton professor and the published author of a work that is thus far definitive on its subject. But this is Twitter Fight Club. It’s not simply the stats here, it’s Armin Rosen‘s general embrace of the spirit of twitterfighting which none of his followers could really question, and which continued to shine through throughout the course of the first round. While it’s up to the other judges and the public to determine whether Johnsen will have to seek solace from Twitter defeat in the Last Refuge of his, well, many other accomplishments, my vote must go to his opponent.

(5) @SMSAIDEMAN VS. (12) @EVANSRYAN202
T-Scores and DGR-Scores for this matchup unavailable due to data collection issues.

These two took the message of twitterfighting each other most to heart, with disses involving each other’s scholarly papers, hometowns, judge-encouraged groan-inducing puns, and many things else besides. In the spirit of this competition they have no equals within this bracket. But, only one will take their surely now battered keyboard or touchscreen to the field of decision next. There was pandering to myself and to other judges, some of it involving Duke, which is pretty bold considering @CaldwellGR is probably the only Duke fan judging. This, by far, was the toughest decision. In the spirit of Anton Chigurh, in touch with the dark and violent forces of the universe which surely motivate twitterfighting as well as murder-for-hire, I flipped a coin, which involves probability, which is kind of like statistics, which is kind of like what would have decided this if I could wrestle the necessary numbers from the ever-tightening grip of Twitter’s API. Congratulations @EvansRyan202.

(6) @NAHEEDMUSTAFA VS. (11) @CHARLIE_SIMPSON
Due to what would ordinarily be a crippling conflict of interest, since the (11) seed is my employer, I am not going to pretend to make any kind of objective assessment about this round. I was petrified that, upon being found out, I would have to walk into @Caidid’s office and surrender my badge and gun. However, thanks to @Charlie_Simpson almost immediately demanding all to vote for @NaheedMustafa, my conflict of interest is absolved, leaving me free to abuse my power in future rounds.

(7) @JOHNSONR VS. (10) @JDANASTUSTER
T-Score: 1.7 vs. .61
DGR Score: 7973 vs. 252

Both competitors put up a good show, but the raw stats and @JohnsonR’s long history of tweeting and commendable volume still managed to overshadow @JDanaStuster stepping it up for the competition. This vote goes to @JohnsonR.

(8) @LAURENIST VS. (9) @DRJJOYNER
Here was another dramatic matchup, with the noticeable and prolonged intervention of @AbuMuqawamaPMC, the contract tweeter whose done a much better job of twitterfighting than many of the contestants. Indeed, after a controversy involving jeggings, the competition’s mascot mercenary even defected to fight in favor of @DrJJoyner. The fight has been close. Both competitors tweeted, twitterfought, and even actually debated on a substantive topic during the competition! This would have been as tough a call as the @smsaideman @evansryan202 matchup, except rather than invoking the spirit of a fictional actual gun-for-hire, I’m going to invoke a real metaphorical one, and rather than flipping a coin, I’m going to see if I can make some coin.

Look, @AbuMuqawamaPMC, I don’t know what they’re paying you. But clearly they’re paying you something. A mercenary ought fight for the highest bidder, even if it’s fighting on the side of jeggings. Your “denimwashing” to make your Kingdom of Italy-level volte face morally upstanding isn’t fooling me. Here’s how this will work. Nothing guarantees future business like results. You give me a slice, and I’ll help you out providing judicial top cover. This is is like, paramilitarism 101.

So, because I think this could be the beginning of a munificent friendship. I’m casting my vote for @DrJJoyner.

* [(RT + Mentions*1.3)]*[(RT+Mentions)/Followers]

Southwest

@colincookman

I’ve said previously that Twitter’s key utility is allowing you to tap directly into the thoughts, readings, and 140-character snark of a broad range of people working in your field, giving you an extra level of curation of the flood of information that surrounds us daily. The starting roundup of contestants in the southwest region of the 2013 TFC bracket is populated by a great mix of journalists, regional specialists (including way more Australians than statistical probability would otherwise suggest) and natsec pros of all different varieties. All of them are of course worth following, but how to really decide which signals to follow closely and what noise to filter out?

The wholly arbitrary verdict of the Twitter Fight Club judges, that’s how.

(1) @blakehounshell vs (16) @jasminchill
Odds suggest that you are already following Blake. If you are somehow not, odds are still good that he may be following you. Prolific reader, tweeter, and managing editor of the foreign policy magazine with the biggest presence on the web. His feed tilts slightly towards the Middle East, but he still manages to cover a broad, broad range of issues. Jasmin CHill — or is it Jasmin C Hill, Jasmin Chill, Jasmin C’Hill? it’s somewhat unclear from her account — focuses on nuclear issues. But she’s also following Australian security and politics, which apparently involve much fewer battles for gasoline than I was previously led to believe. Points for rallying support for her candidacy and for responding to my shameless request for TFC contestants to share my recent report on Pakistani elections. Despite a valiant effort by C’Hill, Hounshell is an overwhelming contender in any Twitter matchup, even though he stayed above the TFC fray during this first round. Pictures of his unreasonably adorable son ultimately seal the deal.

Follow: @blakehounshell

(2) @abuaardvark vs (15) @thebaseleg
Marc Lynch (@abuaardvark) is another great resource on issues in the greater Middle East. Most of his tweets during this judging period have been quick updates and link-sharing, but he’s still covering everything from Saudi to Syria to academia issues and more. Also, his exasperated paean to the soon-to-be late, lamented Google Reader totally captures my sentiments. On the other hand, if you’re into military aviation and the Asia-Pacific, Mike Yeo (@TheBaseLeg) out of Melbourne appears to be a man to follow. He has an eye on North Korea as well, although is mostly sharing other users’ coverage there. No direct engagement between the two contestants to review, but Lynch is simply too valuable of a resource on Middle East news and views to pass on.

Follow: @abuaardvark

(3) @AzmatZahra vs (14) @khanserai

The scrappiest of the matches in this region of the bracket, mostly thanks to some relentless self-promotion from upstart contender @Khanserai. She also brings some entertaining humor, devious facial hair, a fair bit of terrorism coverage. Zahra parries effectively, judo-style, and keeps her feed primarily focused on journalism issues — she’s a producer for PBS Frontline — and Syria, which she’s covering at the moment. Compared to Khanserai, Zahra is a less prolific tweeter, but this may be because she’s not creating multiple lists for why I should vote for her. Both are engaging, and I do love our nation’s public broadcasting networks and the fine work they produce, but in the end I have to give it to @Khanserai on strength of 1) likeliness to contribute to an entertaining next round and 2) facial hair.

Follow: @khanserai

(4) @emptywheel vs (13) @mkoplow

If you’re interested in a critical perspective on U.S. legal issues associated with the war on terror, with frequent deep dives into ongoing trials, document releases, and classification issues, Marcy Wheeler (@emptywheel) is a good choice to follow. She’s also an active debater with others on Twitter who can bring a sharp eyes and a sharp edge when she chooses. Michael Koplow works on Israel and Turkish issues and had plenty to say about both these past few days. As a general rule, I maintain a personal “nothing west of Herat” policy for myself and steer clear of the Middle East as much as possible, so assessing the substance is a bit of a judging challenge. Still, Koplow managed to have an actual Twitter fight on the subject and do so in a fairly level-headed way. Wheeler on a coin toss.

Follow: @emptywheel

(5) @speechboy71 vs (12) @drjohnhorgan

Michael Cohen (@speechboy71) brings plenty of punch to his retrospectives on the Iraq war anniversary this week, engaging in several Twitter fights with a variety of sparring partners before closing the day out with a strong baby / dog finishing combo.John Horgan (@drjohnhorgan) of Penn State’s International Center for the Study of Terrorism is not as prolific a Twitterer and primarily seems to be using the service to engage in conversation with other terrorism scholars. That’s all well and good, but in the end this isn’t Twitter Conversation Club. Cohen shows more commitment to verbal combat than almost all of the other competitors in the bracket during this first period, and he gets the nod.

Follow: @speechboy71

(6) @shephardm vs (11) @JasonFritz1

One’s a Canadian journalist, the other a former cavalry officer; gentility again abounds in this contest. Michelle Shephard (@shephardm) specializes in terrorism and detention policy but follows a broad range of issues, and regularly engages with others on Twitter. It was a pretty big week for Jason Fritz, who kicked it off with the birth of a new daughter, followed it with some thoughtful Iraq anniversary retrospectives and veterans issue commentary, and rounded it out with a new position with the Truman Project. Both sides engaged their followers in support of their quest for the TFC13 big leagues, even as they praised the other’s work. A very well-matched pair in terms of their volume, content quality, and responsiveness, but in the end I can’t bring myself to end Fritz’s winning streak this week.

Follow: @JasonFritz1

(7) @JeffreyGoldberg vs (10) @lrozen

Two well-known journalists, both with a focus on Washington politics and the Middle East. Neither seems particularly aware they’re taking part in Twitter Fight Club, but Obama’s visit to Israel gave them both plenty to of substance to tweet about, with Goldberg there on the ground for Wednesday’s press conference. Whether you agree or disagree with his coverage, Goldberg’s feed is higher-volume and has a more diverse mix of content, with his own reporting, RTs of others, and direct engagement with his followers. Rozen indicates she’s on spring break with kids and signals a forfeit, tipping the verdict.

Follow: @JeffreyGoldberg

(8) @max_fisher vs (9) @andrew_zammit

Fisher is another widely-read foreign policy editor, at the Post, where he surveys pretty much the global span. Good engagement with readers, not so much in the Twitter Fight Club exercise itself. Andrew Zammit, yet another Australian security observer, brings a strong challenge with a cat accomplice that is capable of providing both indirect fire, and UAV support. Zammit also breaks out a Warriors reference, and a steady stream of other good issue-based content. I want to see how he handles a more engaged opponent – Zammit it is.

@drunkenpredator

(1) @blakehounshell
(16) @jasminchill

I’m not a huge fan of the Simpsons and @jasminchill seems (according to her twitter profile) to be an actual character on the show. I recognize that she’s not, though, and that she’s Australian. And I am a huge fan of Australians. But much as I’d like to make this a Robert Morris/Kentucky moment, it’s really tough to argue with @blakehounshell’s reach, influence and general Twitter volume. Advantage: @blakehounshell

(2) @abuaardvark
(15) @thebaseleg

@abuaardvark is one of the original gangstas of Middle Eastern studies on Twitter, and his personal website is totally slick. He teaches at GW, writes for FP, talks on NPR and tweets prodigiously. He should be a lock. And @thebaseleg is a less-known Singaporean defense journalist. But it’s going to the underdog. Why? Because @abuaardvark has made not even a single mention of #TFC13, and @thebaseleg has an Australian connection, and Australians are awesome. Advantage: @thebaseleg

(3) @AzmatZahra
(14) @khanserai

So @AzmatZahra writes great stuff on drones, Middle east politics, and conflict in general. @khanserai…I have no idea what she does. She made a conscious decision not to share that information. While that may work for some people, I am a surveillance platform and I don’t trust the unknown, so I kinda have to give it to @AzmatZahra.

(4) @emptywheel
(13) @mkoplow

So @mkoplow definitely gets extra consideration for being a Red Sox fan, and for enthusiastically diving into the #TFC13 fray. But @emptywheel’s prodigious and formidable reporting on the issues nearest and dearest to my robotic heart- national security, drones, etc- is just too much to contend with. Advantage: Marcy.

(5) @speechboy71
(12) @drjohnhorgan

I will admit that @drjohnhorgan is a new name to me, and after checking out his page, the Penn State project he runs studying the psychology of terrorism is pretty cool. But I am biased in favor of snark over earnestness, Twitter-addicted behavior over practicality, and @speechboy71 brings that in spades. Advantage: @speechboy71

(6) @shephardm
(11) @JasonFritz1

Kudos to both of these competitors for genuinely getting into the spirit of the game. Canadians like @shephardm get a boost, because they get accent-points and drunkenness-points, but they’re all sort of…polite and such. And she mentioned freedom and women (both good things) in her #TFC13 platform, but also mentioned peace and maple syrup, both of which I could really do without. @JasonFritz1 just became a father to an adorable baby, and was totally unashamed to break out said adorable daughter and use her to gain an edge over @shephardm. He also contributes to Ink Spots, and his background images are ACTUAL INK SPOTS. But the tiebreaker came in when @shephardm’s #TFC13 campaigning resulted in an unsolicited entry from Somalia…by a Twitter-savvy member of al-Shabaab. Advantage: @shephardm.

(7) @JeffreyGoldberg
(10) @lrozen

This one was hard because the two of them tend to RT and reference each other fairly regularly- and not in the savaging, Thunderdome-style competition of other #TFC13 participants. It ended up being kind of a toss-up, since neither of them seemed to acknowledge #TFC13 or their responsibility to spar and amuse the bloodthirsty masses. So I went with the underdog. Advantage @lrozen

(8) @max_fisher
(9) @andrew_zammit

God, this one was not easy. @andrew_zammit had the Australian thing going for him, and made a genuine effort to bribe this judge by sending over a photo of a remotely-piloted helicopter in his possession. But he lost points for mislabeling it, and @max_fisher strikes a strong balance between foreign policy, interesting tidbits and The Funny. This is another very-close one, but it has to go to @max_fisher.

@rei_tang

Like choosing the pope, Twitter Fight Club. The Arab Spring and the Beijing 2008 Summer Olympics are connected. The next six months are critical. My taxi driver in Bangalore said this. – Tom Friedman

The southwest region turned out to be the Australian round. @jasminchill, @thebaseleg, and @andrew_zammit, three tweeps I had not followed before showed exceptional fight. I learned some new facts, illustrated below.

So I could throw some smackdown at my #TFC13 opponent @ but I'll let an Australian icon sum it up... http://t.co/nqm2x5aykB
@jasminchill
Jasmin CHill

Indeed, this scrappiness worked. Take the words of General Mattis to heart: “I have never been in a fair fight.” You are not in a fair fight.

If I am going to judge TFC, I am going to reward those who make it worth my time, dammit.

(1) @blakehounshell
(16) @jasminchill (vote)

As @abumquwamapmc points out,

Vote @ over @ in #TFC2013. Because only humans should be allowed in this competition.

@blakehounshell is not a real human and shouldn’t be allowed in this competition. While @blakehounshell would be one of the first people I would recommended anyone follow for world news, where was he in the Twitter fight? @jasminchill had fight and she has a feed that deserves more followers.

(2) @abuaardvark
(15) @thebaseleg (vote)

This was another case of Australian doggedness vs. Foreign Policy Magazine insouciance. At least @abuaardvark had an excuse:

Oh, also, I'm going to be offline for the next week. See you in Italy if you're in Italy! http://t.co/IIqIgsZBpN
@abuaardvark
Marc Lynch

@thebaseleg did not engage as much as the other Australians, but at least acknowledged his participation in the grand event of Twitter Fight Club:

This noob is a #TFC13 underdog, but do cast your vote for Australasia & military aviation, head to http://t.co/Z3jaJ4jNwO and vote for me!
@TheBaseLeg
Mike Yeo

Also, his feed is about military aviation.

(3) @AzmatZahra
(14) @khanserai (vote)

I have to give credit to @AzmatZahra for her audacity, arguing against a judge:

@ Boo. Hiss. Really? Look at this: This is me judging you. #tfc13 (Yes, I'm fighting with a judge. What of it?)
@AzmatZahra
Azmat Khan

With that kind of sharp aggression, she had so much potential. Unfortunately, this was all she could muster. @kahnserai had two top ten (twenty!) reasons to vote for her. In all seriousness, follow @AzmatZahra for the stuff Frontline does, like this:

An incredible shot from our coming film: A rainbow from the vantage point of a soldier in the Syrian army in Aziziya http://t.co/AYe44ZJiSL
@AzmatZahra
Azmat Khan

Follow @khanserai for tweets on countering violent extremism (CVE, see, I do know what it means, duh).

(4) @emptywheel (vote)
(13) @mkoplow

I am not sure if there was a fight here, although I saw some acknowledgement from @mkoplow he was in TFC. However, @emptywheel was making alliances

Vote @ #TFC13. Because the hard-working tortoise always beats the hare who swoops in at the last minute to plug for votes.
@emptywheel
emptywheel

and planning for future threats

Gonna keep this in case @ & I face off next round #TFC13. I'll be in KY 4 Bday & won't be eating like that http://t.co/WYjI52kjHX
@emptywheel
emptywheel

and that is promising, so she gets the vote.

(5) @speechboy71 (vote)
(12) @drjohnhorgan

This was the hardest to judge. Both @speechboy71 and @drjohnhorgan gave about the same modest effort to TFC, but that is okay, given this was the first round. @drjohnhorgan let slip that he let the terrorists win:

Ok #TFC2013 here are 2 random facts about me for your vote. I once played pingpong with a terrorist in Lebanon. I let him win. (1/2)
@Drjohnhorgan
John Horgan

@speechboy71 promises the insane one-two punch of babies and bulldogs:

A reminder for #tfc2013 voters - a vote for @ means more pictures of babies and bulldogs http://t.co/8RttdkIyw1
@speechboy71
Michael Cohen

@speechboy71 also is a clear voice combating the absurdities of U.S. foreign policy discourse, even when I don’t always agree with him. Happy birthday!

(6) @shephardm
(11) @JasonFritz1 (vote)

These two just praised each other to death, which was just messing with my head. I vote @JasonFritz1 because of that one time he tweeted about making a tank blow up another tank, which is awesome and frightening.

(7) @JeffreyGoldberg
(10) @lrozen (vote)

@JeffreyGoldberg did some top-notch color commentary on Obama’s visit to Israel, so he was understandably absent from TFC. @lrozen was understandably absent too:

am on kids' spring break. I forfeit RT @: ahh @ your a #TFC13 combatant, can't RT competitor! http://t.co/wBM3vjl4vr
@lrozen
Laura Rozen

On this one, I’ll give it @lrozen for acknowledging TFC, and am holding out hope the break ends this week (but not really because she should have time off with her kids), sort of like how hope is a strategy for Middle East peace.

(8) @max_fisher
(9) @andrew_zammit (vote)

@andrew_zammit turned out to be quite a surprise, in that I am finding so many interesting links to Australian foreign policy in his feed. He also got into the TFC game early:

Judges note. I have laid out my initial battle plan: https://t.co/Bdag6sMIOZ and my army: https://t.co/Ho7iAbrTC5 see you in the morning.
@Andrew_Zammit
Andrew Zammit

@max_fisher wrote some very incisive pieces for the Washington Post, but doesn’t want to Twitter fight. So the vote goes to (commercial break) @andrew_zammit, the Australian.

Finally, I will leave this quote from Joseph de Maistre’s Considerations on France, which I read over a few days thanks to it being in @stcolumbia’s library, among vinyl records and flannel… cloth.

“…when the human spirit has lost its resilience through indolence, incredulity, and the gangrenous vices that follow an excess of civilization, it can be retempered only in blood. It is far from easy to explain why war produces different effects in different circumstances. What is sufficiently clear is that humanity can be considered as a tree that an invisible hand is continually pruning, often to its benefit. In fact, if its trunk is hacked or if it is pruned badly, a tree can die, but who knows the limits for the human tree?”

This judgement was a pruning of the TFC tree. Let this be a lesson that the decadence and arrogance of high civilization must be avoided. Twitter Fight Club must reach its pure state of Twitter fight.

@zachprague

(1) @blakehounshell
(16) @jasminchill

Despite the efforts of @jasminchill to curry favor through flattery on Twitter — which were comprehensive and, more importantly, appreciated — @blakehounshell is the easy choice here. He can be downright mean with blunt facts.

(2) @abuaardvark
(15) @thebaseleg

Upset alert — I like @thebaseleg here because I don’t really see @abuaardvark as a Twitter fighter. @thebaseleg knows Korea and he knows jets. I don’t know much about either, so to the 15 seed go the spoils.

(3) @AzmatZahra
(14) @khanserai

PBS Frontline is the gold standard for longform investigative journalism. This is a fight club, and @AzmatZahra is more of a hard news person than a Twitter snarker, but her service is invaluable, and she gets the win because of her employer’s amazing work.

(4) @emptywheel
(13) @mkoplow

Have to go with @emptywheel here really for one reason — the blog post about the NYT piece on how Anwar Al-Awlaki was targeted and droned. Well, that and I have no clue who @mkoplow is.

(5) @speechboy71
(12) @drjohnhorgan

Although I am reluctant to go with the higher seed here, @drjohnhorgan is far too civil — especially when compared to @speechboy71 — to really be considered a favorite here.

(6) @shephardm
(11) @JasonFritz1

There are few reporters who cover their beats like @shephardm — enough said.

(7) @JeffreyGoldberg
(10) @lrozen

This is a tough one, as @lrozen’s feed is probably more informative, but @JeffreyGoldberg’s more entertaining. The nod goes to @JeffreyGoldberg…but just barely.

(8) @max_fisher
(9) @andrew_zammit

Had to go with @Max_Fisher here because he doesn’t always tweet about Australian politics.

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Aaaaaand we’re off!

TwitterFightClub 2013 is starting off with a bang! 64 contestants, 16 judges, two days; half the field will be gone before the weekend.

There are four judges for each ‘region.’ The panel’s judgment will count for 50% of the vote, with each judge representing one quarter of that total. The other 50% is based on the popular vote via the public polls below, so make sure to cast your votes! The judging panels are as follows:

‘Northwest Region’ (One seed: @texasinafrica)

  • @hemlockmartinis
  • @juliaaberman
  • @richganske
  • @RogueAdventurer

‘Northeast Region’ (One seed: @intelwire)

  • @jasonmrobertson
  • @jeffemanuel
  • @petulantskeptic
  • @securityscholar

‘Southeast Region’ (One seed: @adamserwer)

  • @aostovar
  • @CaldwellGR
  • @GrahamWJenkins
  • @stcolumbia

‘Southwest Region’ (One seed: @blakehounshell)

  • @colincookman
  • @drunkenpredator
  • @rei_tang
  • @zachprague

Judges and voters alike are encouraged to look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers. We are looking to crown the best overall natsec/fopo tweeter, so contestants’ full bodies of work on Twitter are fair game, but any work outside of Twitter should not be considered. Everyone is encouraged to make their decisions in their own way.

The first round polls are open until midnight EDT this Thursday, March 21, and we will post the full results Friday morning at 9am. If you want to follow all of the TwitterFightClub action, we are using the hashtag #tfc13 and there is a full contestant list here.

Don’t forget there is still time to submit your bracket for inclusion in the pool! Just get it in to twitterfightclub@gmail.com before Friday’s results post!

Now to the polls!

Northwest Region:

Northeast Region:

Southeast Region:

Southwest Region:

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments

Calendar, Seedings, and the Bracket Pool

The competition commences in earnest Wednesday, March 20, and our 2013 champion will be revealed on Thursday, April 4th. The full schedule is as follows:

The full field with final seedings is as follows:

Full bracketsWe will once again be running a pool. If you are interested in entering, please fill out this excel document and submit it with your Twitter handle in the document title to twitterfightclub@gmail.com. Submissions must be received before 9am EDT on Friday, March 22 in order to be considered. Once the first-round results are posted on Friday morning, we will no longer accept pool submissions.

First round polls open in the morning. Sharpen your wits, twitterfighters; it’s gonna be a wild opening round!

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Opening TFC13

Twitter Fight Club 2013 is almost ready to take off, but we need your help! Last year, we asked for your vote in a ‘play-in’ round to decide who got the 64th slot. This year, there are so many great candidates, we need your help even more! Last year’s finalists @will_mccants and @dandrezner, in the tradition established by the inaugural TFC finalists @jeremyscahill and @abumuqawama, will be stepping back like Benedict XVI to peer over the shoulders of the new competitors, and to help us judge the final round. The rest of last year’s Sweet 16 have their spots locked up:

  • @abuaardvark
  • @attackerman
  • @astridhka
  • @AzmatZahra
  • @blakehounshell
  • @DaveedGR
  • @jeffemanuel
  • @joshuafoust
  • @laurenist
  • @naheedmustafa
  • @smsaideman
  • @stcolumbia
  • @texasinafrica
  • @tweetsintheme

That leaves 50 more spots to fill. Who do you want to see compete? Your votes will be a significant metric in deciding the final 64. You may vote for up to six competitors. Remember to get your vote in between now and tomorrow night at midnight EDT. The full field will be announced on Tuesday, and on Wednesday, we’re off to the races!

POLL CLOSED

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Welcome to TwitterFightClub 2013!

Selection Sunday is less than three days away! Who will take this year’s crown? Returning favorites! New faces! Who do you think deserves a shot at the title? Who has been overlooked or underappreciated in past years? Send your nominations in the comments, email them to twitterfightclub@gmail.com, or tweet them @caidid.

Brackets post on Sunday night.

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The 2012 TwitterFightClub Champion

The Main Event

The final day of the tournament started slowly, with @will_mccants occupied with media appearances and @dandrezner wrapped up in the ISA conference. The competition picked up a bit of steam as the day wore on with some more noteworthy work by Drezner proxy @stephaniecarvin, and by the end of the day AQ and zombies were in full play as befits a contest between experts in those respective fields.

In an unexpected twist, however, one third of today’s judging panel staged an insurgency and cast their ballots for another candidate entirely. We were unwilling to wage a resource-intensive counterinsurgency campaign against these judges, and felt secure in our ability to secure a free and fair vote for the TFC public, so we let these insurgents have their say, even publishing their ballots in the interests of free speech.

In the end, their uprising was not enough to overshadow @will_mccants, who rode a wave of public support to victory! Congratulations, Will! You will make an awesome bobblehead a worthy champion!

@will_mccants! Has! The poweeerrr!

Let’s see how the scoring played out:

@dandrezner vs. @will_mccants
Judges: 2-2(-2)
Popular vote:
@will_mccants: 190 (72%)
@dandrezner: 74 (28%)

Now to the judges’ ballots, in which @abumuqawama tries to bring some rigor to the task of judging, @jeremyscahill gives ups to @ggreenwald, @ClosetIdealist plays it straight, @attackerman keeps it short and sweet, and @astridhka and @charlie_simpson judge a whole other match.

@jeremyscahill

Before delving into the main event that brings us all here, let’s pause to pour some booze out for those who didn’t make it past the Final Four. Well, at least for @jeffemanuel. For @stcolumbia, sparkling cider will have to do. I have to say that had these two guys made it to the Finals, they would have been just as worthy as those who did. Without a doubt, @stcolumbia wins the Twitter NatSec “Rookie of the Year” title hands down and, quite frankly, may even make the All-Star Team in a sort of Spud Webb-type way. When was the last time you can recall that a former senior State Department official had to respond to a blog post by a 14 year old sporting a flannel shirt who, right after he hit “publish,” was playing Halo in his parents’ basement?

As for @jeffemanuel, he is one of the reasons why I love Twitter so much. In a world without Twitter, he and the rest of the Knights Templar, challenge coin possessing, Hezbollah-fearing, Iran wants to rule the world conspiracy holding, Mitt Romney lov–OK, actually Jeff is pretty funny about little Mittens. But, my point is that he is from way, way, way over on the other side of the worldview tracks from me, yet I often learn from reading Jeff and I respect him as a no-bullshit dude (even when I think he is full of shit). When I meet Jeff in person, the drinks are on me (hopefully not the M4 rounds). I already met @stcolumbia in person and had to convince 3 different bouncers to let him into their fine establishments. Props to both of these noble Twitter warriors. I assure you we have not heard the last of them.

One final note here before I cast my vote in the championship, if we were judging this purely based on the spirit of the old fashioned Twitter FIGHTS that gave birth to this noble tournament, then I believe, as I did last year, that @ggreenwald would be the undisputed champion, no matter how many of y’all think whatever you think about him. The dude can fight and, like the proud Twitter Troll of Texas™, @jstrevino (whom I have sometimes had the awful misfortune of agreeing with), he is not afraid to mix it up with an account with an egg shell as its Avatar and 3 followers, one of whom is porn, another a free iPad-bot and the third @BarackObama. That, my friends, is the true spirit of a Twitter fighter. The trophy really should be a gold bobblehead of Glenn, perhaps surrounded by the skulls of his defeated or pummeled Twitter avatars. But those were the Gladiator days of past. Today we have rules and civility and something called “vegan cheese.” Part of me believes that this “Twitter Fight Club” is, in reality, some COIN-inspired Red Cell op that we are all unwittingly being used in. I assume it is all being run by @abumuqawama or @robertcaruso.

All of which leads me to the Finals between @dandrezner and @will_mccants. In order to judge this, I had to check the final language of the NDAA law. Now, lest you think I am going to wax poetic about the coming Halliburton concentration camps, I will make myself clear: I believe that, according to the law, Will McCants may–I said may–be an al Qaeda facilitator. Much of my intel on this remains classified and I plan to offer an ultra slim CliffsNotes defense of this allegation in a major address at the Univerity of Chicago Law School, but this little nugget should give you a good window into what Dr. McCants is really about. And it ain’t pretty. Just look at who it is that made this al Qaeda manifesto available to the English-speaking world: “The Management of Savagery.” Now, because we are a nation of laws, I believe McCants should be presented with the evidence against him and, if proper, charged. That’s the American way, right? So until that happens–JSOC and CIA drones permitting–I will put these facts aside and treat McCants as a legitimate Twitter Fight Club combatant with full protection under all international and US conventions and laws of war. (Wink. Wink.)

As for Dan Drezner, I am not aware of his involvement with managing any actual savagery. However, he has cut to the center of some of the most burning foreign policy questions facing those of us who live in the real world (meaning those of us who watch AMC and know who Max Brooks is) with his latest book, Theories of International Politics and Zombies, which “explores the myriad predictions of different theories of world politics and foreign policy in case the dead should rise from the grave and feast upon the living.” Let’s be honest, it is quite possible that Zombies pose a far greater existential threat to peace and stability than the merry band of loonies whose message McCants loves to translate and promote to the English-speaking world.

But, I digress.

In the end, we are not permitted to judge these fine men on such merits. It boils down to what they do with those bursts of 140 characters that God and the prophet Joseph Smith give them on a daily basis.

I have to say that, despite the prestige of both of these renowned scholars, the Finals proved to be a low scoring match. For several hours on Tuesday, Drezner didn’t tweet and–perhaps in a brilliant swipe at McCants–left a +1 RT of @ggreenwald at the top of his feed. For his part, McCants attempted to prove his commitment to victory by disowning his Ivy league Alma Mater, Princeton, sparking the ire of Princeton’s own @gregorydjohnsen, and praising other Ivy League schools, such as UPenn. McCants tried to hold this up as evidence of his willingness to “rupture my deep friend[ship] with Greg in order to speak the truth.” While such principled disavowing of an Ivy League academic institution that gave him so so much may have swayed some judges, another tweet undermined his “average Joe” shtick: “Hard to type in back of limo on my way to CNN for interview.” Oh, Will. Will. Will. Was Seamus strapped to the roof as you drove?

In keeping with the recent US trend, Drezner did deploy a proxy to fight his wars yesterday: one @StephanieCarvin. And while she put up a great effort–with such scurrilous attacks as “Breaking News: John Mearsheimer confirms ‘The Tragedy of Great Power Politics’ actually about @will_mccants”–in the end, a proxy is a proxy. They may achieve short-term objectives, but you cannot control the mess (extrajudicial executions anyone?) to come. After basically outsourcing his war–@StephanieCarvin=Blackwater=new Scahill book–in an 11th hour bid to seal the deal, Drezner did tweet from some boring conference he has been speaking at for like 48 hours straight: “OK, MUST tweet this. At my #ISA2012 panel, Nicholas Cull references “kitlers” — a community of people with cats that look like Hitler.” Well played, sir.

I have been a long-time follower of both of these guys. Dan Drezner is funny and smart and often tweets and retweets great stuff. He also understands that using an underscore in a Twitter name is lame. Wasn’t @TheRealWillMcCants available, dude? Despite his proclivity towards the underscore, McCants, along with that young jedi, @azelin, provide a great service to those of us who report on al Qaeda, al Shabaab, Ansar al Shariah, Daveed Gartenstein-Ross, AQAP and a host of other militant groups. In the end, that is what decided this match for me. I give it to @will_mccants with one caveat: if a White House death panel thinks I am wrong and Gen. Votel and the boys need to show him what’s what, then I will retract it all and dance in the streets celebrating his demise and claim that I had always known there was something strange about that guy.

@abumuqawama

Gang, I am not going to lie: I have been disappointed by the lack of any apparent rigor to the way in which Twitter Fight Club has thus far been judged. For many judges, the vote seems to come down to “I like the way he has a picture of a small child in his profile” or “that picture of the breakfast taco she tweeted looks yummy!”

Goodness gracious.

Some judges rewarded people for nothing more than high output the day of the match, which is to Twitter what “saves” is to baseball – statistically devoid of worth. But that was positively Bill Jamesian compared to some clowns. One judge rewarded a competitor for where he went to university. Another judge rewarded a competitor for owning the same breed of dog. Another reflected that a competitor might be on her review board for tenure and then voted accordingly.

Are you people serious?

(Finally, judges, an aside. This is a pet peeve of mine: if a competitor is not following you prior to the competition, don’t whine about it. Instead, take a look into the mirror and ask yourself why your Twitter feed stinks.)

Needless to say, little of what has passed for “judging” this year adds up to an accurate reflection of how valuable a person’s Twitter account is. And while I hate to go all Sabermetrics on this competition, I’m going to advance a simple way to better determine the worth of an account. This is a) a crude measurement that is b) nonetheless about a million times more scientific than 90% of what other people have written.

RT + M
———-  = T-score
F

Okay, the number of followers [F] one has says little about the value of a person’s Twitter account. Any vapid reality television celebrity can have a lot of followers on Twitter. A more accurate reflection of an account’s value is the degree to which a post is re-tweeted [RT] or an account is mentioned (to include responses) [M]. But those figures can be skewed by an account’s amplification. So we have to control for that by dividing the sum by F. I call the figure we get at the end a T-score. (Because RTMF is a crappy acronym.)

Again, more idiots will re-tweet the musings of @JessicaSimpson than smart people will re-tweet @stcolumbia. But what happens when we divide their RT + M by F (4.9 million for @JessicaSimpson and 1,100 for @stcolumbia)? @stcolumbia is left with a monster T-score of 5.18, while @JessicaSimpson scores just .009. Relatively speaking, people really care about what @stcolumbia writes on Twitter, whereas very few people honestly care about what @JessicaSimpson writes on Twitter.

In order to control for last-minute flurries of competition-related tweets, I used Klout to harvest data on the accounts of @dandrezner and @will_mccants going back 90 days.

Here are the results, with RT, M and F all measured in the thousands. These two competitors were incredible well-paired, even if @stcolumbia would have smoked either of them. First, @dandrezner:

(5.8) + (3.4)
————— = .989
9.3

Now, @will_mccants:

(1.3) + (2.3)
————— = .947
3.8

So my vote goes to @dandrezner, while @will_mccants gets traded to Oakland for Yoenis Cespedes.

By the way, in case anyone is wondering, my T-score is 1.454. Last year’s champion, Jeremy Scahill, has an anemic T-score of .333. Not that I am still bitter about last year. Or @naheedmustafa’s petulant final ballot. Not at all.

@astridhka

As I was judging this morning, I immediately noticed both @dandrezner and @will_mccants had a truly unfortunate level of commitment to doing things today that were not Twitter Fight Club. @dandrezner was at ISA and @will_mccants was off being a “terrorism” “expert” for the media.

Still, @will_mccants made some time to pander a bit to me by acknowledging that my (and @abumuqawama’s) university is superior to his university. He was so engaged on Twitter while @dandrezner was lengthily absent that the poor guy had to resort to trading barbs with his own @ZombieDrezner. For his part, @dandrezner’s continued use of the @stephaniecarvin proxy and later effort to come back with the revealing @AQ_Loves_Will was valiant, but ultimately both men’s efforts on this important day lacked a certain je na sais quoi one expects from Twitter Fight Club.

And so, it’s come to this.

With the decidedly lackluster Twitter performance of the two final contestants, an enthusiastic insurgent candidate emerged sometime this afternoon. The sharp, smart, and engaging @texasinafrica has earned herself the darkhorse vote among the judges. The last woman standing in the TFC boys club and the final Africa (watcher) contestant, there was no way I couldn’t vote for her steady, informative tweets and shameless offer to send cupcakes.

Team @texasinafrica!

@attackerman

A tough competition: I hate all academics equally. But @will_mccants is the Anthony Davis of this year’s TFC.  You can learn something valuable about terrorism from his feed. And “only Tom Friedman has more insight, zingers & amazing analogies” is a cold-as-ice mot juste, the kind of thing uttered by Twitter champions. @will_mccants is like the U. Chicago tenure board: @dandrezner can’t get past him.

@charlie_simpson

In her judging guidance, @caidid encouraged we the judges to ”look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers.”

Taking all those factors into consideration, I cast my final round vote for @texasinafrica.

@will_mccants gets an A-for-Effort in sheer pandering (even if he did get my graduate school wrong).  There were not, however, any Jayhawk condolences forthcoming from either party.  Which, given that I haven’t tweeted about anything else in a month, is rather disappointing.  My pain is no less real for being live tweeted!

Now @dandrezer is handicapped by attending ISA.  I feel his pain: it’s difficult to maintain consciousness after three-days of theory laden IR panels.  (I attended ISA Honolulu.  By which I mean, I attended 1.5 panels and shared a condo with @mchorowitz, @jbusby2, and @thomaswright08 in Waikiki. It was much better than ISA Montreal.)  But that’s no excuse for him to ignore @will_mccants’ Christian Science Monitor humblebrag.  CSM, really? They don’t even do print anymore.

And finally, they failed to respond in any meaningful way to the sly insurgency of @texasinafrica.  The women of the warkid loop demand to be taken seriously!  They also demand cupcakes.  Seriously, I named my price like 5 times.  This is not f*cking rocket science, gentlemen. Jayhawks, cupcakes, and servicey snark.

It’s @texasinafrica in a landslide.

@ClosetIdealist

Well, this certainly wasn’t an easy decision.  @will_mccants buttered me up early with a follower recommendation and signalled the start of a promising career as emir of AQ’s newest affiliate, the Pink Hotpants Battalion.  If AQAP produced the ‘undie-bomber’, I’m not looking forward to @will_mccants first plot against the decadent West.  Thankfully no self-respecting terrorist knows where Australia is, so I’m safe.  Good luck to the rest of you, though.

@dandrezner took the high road, not pandering to the judges (much).  It wasn’t particularly easy to figure out who fired the first shot in the 2012 Zombies vs AQ war, but it seemed to end with the destruction of Tom Friedman’s moustache  (which is more than can be said about most wars in recent memory).  But @dandrezner had some great substantive tweets on Wikileaks, the Republican nomination process, and Iraq War intelligence – all worth a read.  Also, it can’t have been easy participating in both #TFC12 and #ISA2012.

It was a hard decision – both participants had some great tweets and the interaction was excellent, but I have to select @dandrezner as the winner by a narrow margin.

The Bracket Pool

By virtue of being the only one to correctly pick the winner of the tournament, @azelin has made #TFC12 a sweep for the CT, Friends of the AQ Fora crew. Congratulations, @azelin!

Entrant Round One Round Two Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Championship Total
@alanatiemessen 21 16 12 8 16 0 73
@AngelaConner 25 0 0 0 0 0 25
@astridhka 25 22 12 0 0 0 59
@azelin 24 14 16 8 16 32 110
@bmccorkle1 22 18 16 0 0 0 56
@DaveedGR 22 18 16 8 0 0 64
@dianawueger 26 18 12 8 16 0 80
@doylecjd 18 16 8 0 0 0 42
@drjjoyner 23 18 8 0 0 0 49
@GrahamWJenkins 26 12 8 0 0 0 46
@ibnlarry 17 16 20 0 0 0 53
@jay_ulfelder 26 16 20 8 0 0 70
@jeffemanuel 24 18 12 8 16 0 78
@JimmySky 26 20 12 0 0 0 58
@katiedemann 20 16 12 8 0 0 56
@mariastoh 28 14 12 8 16 0 78
@miketalley73 20 12 16 16 0 0 64
@mvallonesta 23 16 20 8 16 0 83
@RogueAdventurer 28 18 12 8 0 0 66
@smsaideman 22 18 24 16 16 0 96
@stephanie carvin 27 22 16 0 0 0 65
@strangestrings 24 14 12 0 0 0 50
@TalkingWarheads 21 14 8 0 0 0 43
@the_boy 24 16 12 0 0 0 52
@TheCamelsNose 22 16 12 0 0 0 50
Arias (handle unknown) 20 16 8 0 0 0 44
Stone (handle unknown) 22 12 8 8 0 0 50

Prizes will make their way to the winners in the coming weeks, but aside from that, this wraps up TwitterFightClub 2012. Thank you to our dedicated judges, @noahchestnut for the great recaps and previews, @MarkfromArk for the wonderful visualizations, and everyone for reading. Congratulations again to our 2012 champ @will_mccants!

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

The #TFC12 Finalists

Today marks the final day of competition. Tomorrow, we will crown a victor. Let’s see who remains to compete for the honor.

Final Four Results

North: @will_mccants vs. East: @stcolumbia
Judges: 4-3 for @will_mccants (57% of judges’ vote)
Popular vote:
@will_mccants: 326 (71%)
@stcolumbia: 132 (29%)
On the same day that @will_mccants apparently took down al Qaeda’s cyber networks (or so @JimmySky’s ballot says probably presumably happened), @stcolumbia’s until-now-superior cyber networks fail to net him the popular vote, and on a day when the judges’ vote tilts against him as well…Did the Hound use some kind of counter terror cyber counter ninjitsu to take down the pup? We may never know, but the day belongs to @will_mccants in this contest.

South: @dandrezner vs. West: @jeffemanuel
Judges: 6-1 for @dandrezner (86% of judges’ vote)
Popular vote:
@jeffemanuel: 434 (75%)
@dandrezner: 141 (25%)
@jeffemanuel scored another nod from ‘Firefly’ alum Adam Baldwin and clear superiority in the popular vote, but it’s not enough to overcome @dandrezner‘s overwhelming edge with the judges, a good deal of the credit for which must go to his highly effective proxy @stephaniecarvin.

The Championship Round

@will_mccants has battled his way here through a series of lively, close battles with @zackbeauchamp, @chrisalbon, @AzmatZahra, and @smsaideman.

@dandrezner was very nearly sent home in the first round by (16) seed @HayesBrown, but since then has appeared secure and sometimes downright formidable, taking down heavyweights @USEmbPretoria, @DaveedGR, and @BlakeHounshell

Today marks the epic final showdown of #TFC12, where @will_mccants and @dandrezner will seek to curry the favor of the voting public and a panel of judges including the only two people who have stood where they now stand, last year’s finalists @jeremyscahill and @abumuqawama. By the end of the evening, as many of the committee members, judges, contestants, and enthusiasts make merry,

The pretty one is @dianawueger.

the Chair will be locked away, feverishly tallying votes and weighing ballots, until the identity of the new champion is known.

It will look nothing like this.

The judging panel on this final day of competitions consists of:

  • @jeremyscahill
  • @abumuqawama
  • @astridhka
  • @attackerman
  • @charlie_simpson
  • @ClosetIdealist

The panel’s judgment will count for 50% of the vote. The public polls account for the other 50%. Judges and voters alike are encouraged to look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers. Contestants’ full bodies of work on Twitter are fair game, but any work outside of Twitter should not be considered, and once again everyone is encouraged to make their decisions in their own way. Two tweeters enter. Only one will walk away with the coveted trophy. Who will it be?

Now let’s hear from the judges how they made their picks.

@AzmatZahra

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

So Will McCants is a super serious, established “terrorism expert” (a title he deserves) who makes the pages of WaPo like it ain’t no thang. Despite this, he doesn’t think himself above partaking in seriously dorky, embarrassing things — a very tiny example of which is pandering to this judge’s obsession with The Hunger Games — and that’s ace in my books.

But Dan Trombly is young and hungry and relentless in his blogging, which is incredibly endearing. I mean, he’s a young’n (something Will hasn’t failed to used to his advantage) who knows a great deal, and how can you not root for that? He also cracked out the lolCats, which I have deep (and secret) appreciation for. Back in grad school, I used to read icanhazcheezburger? captions to my friends in funny voices (yes, I had friends) and would make my own. What? Stop typing right now, Azmat. Moving along. Dan also made this, and I love it.

This was difficult, very difficult, but my vote goes to @will_mccants, whom I suspect is behind Al Qaeda’s internet blackout. (For the record, I’m afraid this decision will come back to haunt me when I’m (well, we’ll all be) working for Dan Trombly one day. Please take pity on me then, Dan. I was a fool.)

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

Jeff started out the morning with an #FF for the judges, which is kind and whatnot, but entirely pointless, no? I mean, when was the last time an #FF like that actually meant something? That said, Jeff seems to have a very dedicated and loyal following… that includes Adam Baldwin? That’s probably because Jeff is both thoughtful and opinionated, which is a surprisingly rare combination.

Dan Drezner was at ISA, where he spoke and live-tweeted, and apparently also ate a whale, fought zombies and saved baby kittens. That he has Stephanie Carvin’s backing (who is a badass in my books) means a lot. Forget Adam Baldwin. I can’t help but listen to women I know are smart, so my vote goes to @dandrezner.

@JimmySky

Obviously, at this point in #TFC12, all of the competitions are going to be tough to judge. It’s doubly so for me right now since I just got diagnosed with “something pretty close to bronchitis” and now I’m suffering from the side-effects of Albuterol, which include nervousness, dizziness, shortness of breath, headache and uncontrollable shaking. Come to think of it, that’s the exact list of symptoms I had  prior to going to the doctor.

Regardless, I have been asked to pass judgment on the Twitter Fight Club 2012 Final Four, so here they are.

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

The #TFC12 Illuminati are going to be furious at me for doing this, but its time to get the truth out there. I don’t believe that  ‘Dan Trombly’ (aka @stcolumbia) is actually a real person. More precisely, I don’t believe that he is a single individual. I think that he is more of a collective, like @blakehounshell. My guess is that @stcolumbia is some kind of slow-burn viral marketing advertisement for Columbia University (or Columbia, SC). No real person could be as widely read and intelligent on such a vast amount topics as this ‘Dan Trombly’ person, especially at only 21 years old.

Follow me down the rabbit hole…

I know, I know. There is a guy that attends events in DC occasionally and presents himself as “Dan Trombly” but what do we really know about him, aside from the fact that he bears a passing resemblance to Emo Peter Parker from Spider-Man 3?

I’ll answer that: Nothing.

No 21-year old should be able to go toe-to-toe with Foreign Policy elite via twitter and argue the finer points of foreign intervention in Libya or the fiscal impacts behind France’s involvement in the American Revolution. Occam’s Razor dictates that @stcolumbia is a collection of at least a dozen PhDs. Or he is a 287-year-old Vampire. Or there is a hideously grotesque picture of him hidden in an attic somewhere.

Regardless, @stcolumbia isn’t real. Wake up, Sheeple! The truth is out there.

So, you ask, ‘What did @will_mccants do today?’ Nothing….

…unless you count SINGLE HANDEDLY TAKING DOWN AL-QAEDAS WEBSITE.
(I just kinda skimmed the article, but I’m pretty sure that’s what it said)

That’s right. Will McCants used the power of cyber to stop ALL THE TERRORISTS. Suck it, @evgenymorozov. The internet is awesome.

What did @will_mccants do yesterday? He cyber-punched Glenn Greenwald. This scores him huge points with me, not because he resorted to violence (cyber punching hits with all the physical damage of a sternly written ‘letter to the editor’) but because I find Greenwald unbearable.

Plus, Will McCants isn’t some shady collective of individuals we know nothing about. At worst, he is one guy standing on another guy’s shoulders wearing a trenchcoat.

WINNER: @will_mccants

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

@dandrezner engaged in unbelievably ruthless behavior in today’s twitter fight club round by enlisting a proxy by the name of @StephanieCarvin to wear down Jeff Emanuel’s defenses. Granted, Dan paid lip-service to the greatness of his adversaries, but behind the scenes he was laying the groundwork for his ultimate triumph.

I kept waiting for the other shoe to drop with @jeffemanuel. I kept waiting for him to ‘go negative.’ I wanted to see him lay down some snark with Dan Drezner. I knew that since we were in the Final Four he would certainly come out swinging. Nope. Jeff played it classy the whole time.

Unfortunately for Jeff, this is Twitter FIGHT Club, and the Coliseum demands blood. Or, in the absence of blood, cupcakes (which Dan Drezner promised to everyone).

Also, I’m a sore loser.

@naheedmustafa

Of Canadian Spellings and Canadian Decisions:

Ah, yes, the Final Four. Today’s Twitter fight threw up a veritable smorgasbord of soup-to-nuts tweets (eat your heart out Thomas Friedman). Everything from Russian influence in the GCC to a twitpic of a big girl in tiny clothes that singed my retinas (thanksalot @jeffemanuel). But decisions have to be made and not every decision is as decisive as the War of 1812 (which Canada won so…).

So here’s my rundown. But before I give my rundown I would like to say that each contestant – ok, not each contestant (you know who you are @dandrezner) made a real effort at toadying and truckling to some degree – some with compliments about my tumblr (I’m lookin’ at you @jeffemanuel) – and some with mildly swear-y exchanges – kudos @will_mccants. And some by RT’ing my brilliance (cheque’s in the mail @stcolumbia). But I also feel like regardless of the feel-good exchanges and the good times, I did announce early on that my core evaluation would be content (and whether I learned anything new). So, take a deep swig of your Tim Hortons double double and read on:

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

This matchup was a tough one to decide. I just started following @stcolumbia and quickly realized I’m better for it. @will_mccants, well, what can one say? Sheikh al-Forummeister is an obvious must-follow and I’ve been consuming his tweets for some time.

@will_mccants:

  • we had a nice swear-y exchange
  • he made great efforts at toadying and truckling – nice touch
  • some forum talk
  • tweeted an article in which he’s quoted so that boosted his cred
  • mild trash talk with @stcolumbia which was all right but not stellar and mostly one-sided.
  • at one point he attempted to bribe one of the judges (@texasinafrica) with coke – white powdery stuff or carbonated beverage, I’m not sure
  • actually visited my tumblr, hence the swear-y exchange.

@stcolumbia

  • while there was little by way of trash talk and snark, @stcolumbia’s twitter feed is a cornucopia of information – everything from the British Empire to American intervention in WWI to Libyan democracy to Russian influence in the GCC to a post on the dovishness of Fouad Ajami (!). In a world where content is king, in today’s matchup, @stcolumbia wears the crown.

Decision: @stcolumbia

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

This matchup was easy. @dandrezner live-tweeted some China thingy and ignored me all day. That is all. I wanted to change my twitter handle to @SadSadBunny but figured I would just be inundated with porn bots specializing in the use of small woodland creatures. Despite my best efforts, there was nary a tweet in my direction from the estimable @dandrezner. One thing he did have that no one else did, however, was a proxy. I feel there should be a special helper medal for @stephaniecarvin. Alternatively, a commemorative Canadian penny (they’re being discontinued y’know) and a Tim Hortons gift card should suffice. Or a t-shirt and fleece vest combo would work too.

@jeffemanuel, on the other hand, pandered like a pro. He pandered early and he pandered often. Also, he made good use of snark; his feed included a twitpic that left me visually impaired (see above) so while it’s never good to burn the retinas of a judge it did show that he had guts and wasn’t afraid to go out on a limb; he tweeted about sports (I think it was sports, I don’t do sports); American aid to Syria (learned something I didn’t know in terms of the possible type of aid); Groupon; food; and the F-35 (one of several banes of my existence). Oh, and he visited my tumblr too.

Decision: @jeffemanuel

@NuisanceValue

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

@stcolumbia 

Trombly’s clearly the dark horse of this competition; that being said he’s continued to hold his own against an impressive line up of policy professionals and IR wonks. I’m consistently impressed by the quality / quantity balance in his tweeting and blogging – honestly, I don’t understand how he keeps up the pace (I suspect he doesn’t either). A finals opportunity would surely cap off this cinderella story. Also, let’s face it, the puppy avatar steals the show.

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

@dandrezner

Quite apart from the fact that I share Drezner’s dual passions for IPE and zombies, I appreciate his unique ability to combine a jaundiced perspective on the excesses of contemporary American political science with powerful and persistent justification of its fundamental practical virtues. Over the past weekend ISA has granted him a perfect opportunity to perform, and the results have been entertaining and informative. Go forth and conquer.

@securityscholar

Ok, another round of exceptional tweeters. This time, I’ll keep it short and sweet. Like this.

Basically, I looked at humour, overall commitment to NatSec tweets, interesting commentary, engagement with followers … and shameless pandering.

@will_mccants vs @stcolumbia

Result: @will_mccants showed lots of early ANZUS love (hey, everyone loves an alliance) and took out al Qaeda’s web presence but I gave it to @stcolumbia for consistent tweeting and discussion. And the cat picture.

TOTDs

I'm looking forward to buying @ a beer tomorrow to celebrate the conclusion of #tfc2012. you're 21, right?
@will_mccants
Will McCants
Today, I wrote two blog posts. My opponent, on the other hand, was just quoted in some rag called the "Washington Post"
@stcolumbia
Dan Trombly

@dandrezner vs @jeffemanuel

Result: @jeffemanuel had a prolific stream of tweets and was gracious to his opponent, yet I gave it to @dandrezner with props for his #ISA2012 coverage and shameless recruitment of @stephaniecarvin.

TOTDs

I met Kofi Annan once, almost 15 years ago. The man radiated calm.
@jeffemanuel
Jeff Emanuel
Maybe I was multitasking. RT @ @: Dude, were you twitter fighting while chairing my ISA panel? #multiplesnarkyadjectives
@dandrezner
Daniel Drezner
#isa12 Breaking News: @ heroically dives in front of truck to save adorable orphaned, baby kittens. #TFC12
@StephanieCarvin
Stephanie Carvin

@texasinafrica

My main dilemma in this week’s matchups was whether to vote for the people of my tribe (Team PhD!) or to actually evaluate via the official judging criteria. Well, that and dealing with the fact that #TFC2012 somehow came down to a contest between four white men, as everything else in national security too often does. But I digress.

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

I’ve been following @sill_mccants for a year or so and he consistently tweets about topics I’d never have otherwise seen. He also pandered quite effectively, pointing out that his wife went to Spelman (sister college to my employer). And he’s a professor. Albeit one who hasn’t sent me a free, autographed copy of his book. Yet.

I had not followed wunderkind @stcolumbia until this weekend, but of course I’ve seen all the raves about his blog posts and retweets of his clever tweets from the hard-core NatSec grand strategy types on my twitter feed. That is to say, @stcolumbia’s reputation preceded him. His tweets for the Final Four were thoughtful and he engaged very effectively with his readers. He also suggested that we could solve his unemployment problem by him becoming my housekeeper, but he didn’t respond when I asked if he does baseboards.

If I were just voting on today’s tweets, I’d vote @stcolumbia. But the criteria let us count total body of work on Twitter and I want to see @stcolumbia grow in the program rather than being a one-and-out-to-the-pros.

Vote: Team PhD. @will_mccants.

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

I only harbor slight bitterness toward @jeffemanuel, even though he beat me after an endorsement from a C-list celebrity of whom I’ve never heard until @dianawueger explained Firefly to me after my devastating loss on Friday. Jeff was nothing but gentlemanly in our battle royale, and he has a very active and interesting Twitter feed covering a wide range of topics. He also retweeted several of the latest in right wing conspiracy theories of which I’d yet to hear. Jeff is also a fellow native Texan in exile in Atlanta, and as a bonus, he managed to get a tweet from every Austinite’s second-favorite BBQ joint, the Salt Lick, which won major points in my book.

@dandrezner adopted the unusual TFC strategy of doing something other than hanging out on Twitter all day, which meant his flow of tweets was a lot slower than his opponent’s. However, my Canadian doppelganger @StephanieCarvin (Seriously. We lead parallel lives.) stepped into the gap with several enthusiastic tweets on Drezner’s prowess at everything from creating peace in Syria to stopping Joseph Kony. I also enjoyed his live tweets from an ISA panel on China. Drezner’s promise to appoint Carvin as Minister of Cupcakes did not go unnoticed. He also pandered effectively by promoting my job security with a personal Twitter note to my tenure committee.

This was a tough one, but at the end of the day, I use @dandrezner’s zombie book in class and have followed him for a long time. His body of Twitter work speaks for itself and, well, he might be on an editorial board whose acceptances I need for tenure. Sorry, Jeff.

Vote: Team PhD. @dandrezner.

@wjrue

Jeff Emmanuel vs Dan Drezner

This was a very tough match. Both of these gentleman have excellent feeds. Jeff is a fellow Bulldawg and calls the ATizzLe home. His conservatism is a much-needed counterweight to the rest of the TFC community lest our echo chamber become even larger. He sticks to his guns and will challenge anyone. Dan is a well-known and well-respected IR scholar who does serious work in IR theory and political economy. And zombies. He engages his readers and has contributed to making twitter a game-changing platform that enables people like me to interact with smart scholars. Drezner and Emmanuel. Emmanuel and Drezner. Think… I gotta go with Drezner. He tweeted from an ISA panel he was chairing today. That’s dedication. Or boredom.

Dan Trombly vs Will McCants

Another very tough match. Dan is clearly one of the smartest kids on twitter. His grasp of history makes his analysis of the present indispensable. And the kid is still an undergrad. Will is by all accounts the nicest guy around. And a Princeton PhD who helps dolts like me gain insight into extremist interpretations of political Islam. (Don’t worry Glenn, I won’t call him a CT analyst, even though he is. A damn good one too.) Will McCants gets my sympathy vote and for keeping me safe from the terrorists whose websites he took down several days ago.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The Final Four

After two weeks of fierce competition, shocking upsets, and creative pandering, only four competitors are left:

@will_mccants, the author,  jolly green giant of the counter terror community, who promises to be the judges’ Hound today:

He’s really tall, yo…
...and willing to crush skulls.

@stcolumbia, the precocious undergrad whose soul has not yet been crushed by the working world, the 12 seed who has sneak-attacked a series of higher seeds on the way up:

The guy living in the closet was a shock, but he got over it.
They never even saw him coming.

@jeffemanuel, the archaeologist, scholar, and SOF vet:

He would totally fight Nazis in his spare time if there were any around.

and @dandrezner, renowned professor of IR, blogger, and expert on–

...bbrraaaaaaaaainsss...

One day, two battles, two victors who will face each other in tomorrow’s final day of competition. For the tales of the tape, check out these visualizations set up by @MarkfromArk:

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

Today’s matches will be judged by a panel of seven:

  • @AzmatZahra
  • @JimmySky
  • @naheedmustafa
  • @NuisanceValue
  • @securityscholar
  • @texasinafrica
  • @wjrue

The panel’s judgment will count for 50% of the vote, with each judge representing one seventh of that total. The public polls account for the other 50%. Judges and voters alike are encouraged to look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers. Contestants’ full bodies of work on Twitter are fair game, but any work outside of Twitter should not be considered, and once again everyone is encouraged to make their decisions in their own way. The winners will face each other in the championship round on Tuesday!

Polls are open until midnight, and remember to get out the vote!

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Bracket Scoring Update

A lot of entrants did not have any of the Final Four in their brackets, and only two correctly predicted more than one of them. @smsaideman went down in the Sweet 16 round of the competition, but his bracket selections could yet bring him a victory in TwitterFightClub 2012.

Entrant Round One Round Two Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Championship Total
@alanatiemessen 21 16 12 8 57
@AngelaConner 25 0 0 0 0 0 25
@astridhka 25 22 12 0 0 0 59
@azelin 24 14 16 8 62
@bmccorkle1 22 18 16 0 0 0 56
@DaveedGR 22 18 16 8 64
@dianawueger 26 18 12 8 64
@doylecjd 18 16 8 0 0 0 42
@drjjoyner 23 18 8 0 0 0 49
@GrahamWJenkins 26 12 8 0 0 0 46
@ibnlarry 17 16 20 0 0 0 53
@jay_ulfelder 26 16 20 8 70
@jeffemanuel 24 18 12 8 62
@JimmySky 26 20 12 0 0 0 58
@katiedemann 20 16 12 8 56
@mariastoh 28 14 12 8 62
@miketalley73 20 12 16 16 64
@mvallonesta 23 16 20 8 67
@RogueAdventurer 28 18 12 8 66
@smsaideman 22 18 24 16 80
@stephanie carvin 27 22 16 0 0 0 65
@strangestrings 24 14 12 0 0 0 50
@TalkingWarheads 21 14 8 0 0 0 43
@the_boy 24 16 12 0 0 0 52
@TheCamelsNose 22 16 12 0 0 0 50
Arias (handle unknown) 20 16 8 0 0 0 44
Stone (handle unknown) 22 12 8 8 50
Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment